KalshiVerfügbarkeit prüfenKYC erforderlich2% GebührVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit
At least 2.5°C 69.1%Führend unter 6 OptionenMargenbereinigt: Die Rohquoten summierten sich auf über 100 % und wurden normalisiert.
Marktqualitat
30 / 100
Niedrige Qualität24h-Volumen
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Liquidität
2151,7 €
Niedrige LiquiditätMarktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 16 Minuten
2. Juli 26, 23:005. Apr. 27, 14:00
Trends
Regeln
If the peak RONI value during the NDJ 2026-27 season is the named outcome, then the market resolves to Yes.
Abwicklung über:NOAA Climate Prediction Center (CPC)
- The peak RONI value is determined solely from values published in the NOAA CPC official RONI table that are designated as final (non-preliminary).
- For La Niña contracts, the peak RONI value refers to the single most negative (i.e., lowest) RONI value.
- The latest Expiration Date shall be one week after the Source Agency publishes the final RONI value for the last three-month period falling within the time period.
- However, if the peak RONI value necessary to determine the Market Outcome can be conclusively established prior to that date (e.g., the season has formally ended and all relevant values are final), expiration may be moved to an earlier date and time.
- If the peak RONI value during the NDJ 2026-27 season is between 0.5 and 0.9°C, then the market resolves to Yes.
Offene Märkte
WeatherKALSHIHighest temperature in Los Angeles on Sep 1, 2026?
- 76° to 77°+11.0pt56.2%
- 75° or below+14.0pt33.3%
- 78° to 79°-21.0pt6.7%
+3 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 216.137 €
- 24h-Volumen
- 212.038 €
KALSHIWhere will it rain on Sep 1, 2026?
- New York City+24.0pt99%
- Newark+26.0pt99%
- Boston+12.0pt99%
+19 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 105.510,9 €
POLYMARKETHighest temperature in Shanghai on September 2?
- 28°C+39.0pt47.2%
- 29°C+1.5pt26.4%
- 30°C-17.0pt21.7%
+8 weitere Ergebnisse
KALSHIWhat will be the name of the first hurricane in the Atlantic this year?
- Fay-4.0pt24.8%
- Edouard-4.0pt19.5%
- Gonzalo+3.0pt17.7%
+18 weitere Ergebnisse
KALSHIHighest temperature in New York City on Sep 1, 2026?
- 82° or below+39.0pt85.7%
- 83° to 84°-18.0pt10.5%
- 85° to 86°-13.0pt0.9%
+3 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
KALSHILowest temperature in Miami on Sep 1, 2026?
- 77° to 78°67.3%
- 79° to 80°-8.0pt24%
- 75° to 76°-7.0pt5.8%
+3 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 37.441,7 €
- Highest temperature in Miami on Sep 1, 2026?
- Highest temperature in Chicago on Sep 1, 2026?
- Highest temperature in London on September 2?
- Highest temperature in Philadelphia on Sep 1, 2026?
- Highest temperature in Tel Aviv on September 2?
- Highest temperature in Wellington on September 2?
- Highest temperature in Austin on Sep 1, 2026?
- Highest temperature in Paris on September 2?
- Highest temperature in Hong Kong on September 2?
- Highest temperature in Guangzhou on September 2?
Häufige Fragen
- Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für What will the peak RONI value for El Niño be during the NDJ 2026-27 season??
- Kalshi bewertet At least 2.5°C mit 69% (Stand: 1. September 2026).
- Wann wird What will the peak RONI value for El Niño be during the NDJ 2026-27 season? entschieden?
- What will the peak RONI value for El Niño be during the NDJ 2026-27 season? soll am 5. April 2027 entschieden werden.
- Wie wird What will the peak RONI value for El Niño be during the NDJ 2026-27 season? abgerechnet?
- Kalshi rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: If the peak RONI value during the NDJ 2026-27 season is the named outcome, then the market resolves to Yes.