What will the peak RONI value for El Niño be during the NDJ 2026-27 season?
3.0 Pkt. (24h)WetterOne-Off5Mon
KalshiVerfügbarkeit prüfenKYC erforderlichVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenGut kalibriertMittelwert des gewählten Orderbuchs
At least 2.5°C · —
Gewähltes Orderbuch wird geladen…
—
Gespeicherter Preis
At least 2.5°C 82.5%Führend unter 6 Optionen
At least 2.5°C 82.5%Marktqualitat
44 / 100
Niedrige Qualität24h-Volumen
196,4 €
Open Interest
5667,7 $
Mittleres Open InterestGeld / Brief
— / —
At least 2.5°CSpread
—
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 16 Minuten
2. Juli 26, 23:00 UTC5. Apr. 27, 14:00 UTC
Chart und Änderungen zeigen gespeicherte historische Wahrscheinlichkeiten, nicht das gewählte aktuelle Orderbuch.
Trends
Gewählte Zeile: Orderbuch-Mittelwert. Andere Zeilen: gespeicherte, ggf. normalisierte Referenzwerte; 24h-Änderungen basieren auf gespeicherter Historie.
Handelsplatzbedingungen
Quelle: Kalshi
Diese Angaben dienen der Information; für den simulierten Handel bei CoinRithm gelten eigene Regeln.
- Vorzeitige Schließung:
- Ja
- Abrechnungsfrist:
- 30m (unverbindliche Angabe)
Markttiefe · At least 2.5°C
Gewähltes Orderbuch wird geladen…
—
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
What will the peak RONI value be during the 2026-27 El Niño season?
KalshiWhat will the peak RONI value be for the NDJ 2026-27 quarter?
KalshiWhat will the peak RONI be for the 2026–27 El Niño?
PolymarketWill this El Niño be the strongest ever recorded?
Manifold MarketsWill there be a Super El Niño this winter (2026–27)?
PolymarketWill the 2026–27 El Niño be the strongest on record?
PolymarketRegeln
If the peak RONI value during the NDJ 2026-27 season is at least 2.5°C, then the market resolves to Yes.
Abwicklung über:NOAA Climate Prediction Center (CPC)
- The peak RONI value is determined solely from values published in the NOAA CPC official RONI table that are designated as final (non-preliminary). For La Niña contracts, the peak RONI value refers to the single most negative (i.e., lowest) RONI value. The latest Expiration Date shall be one week after the Source Agency publishes the final RONI value for the last three-month period falling within the time period. However, if the peak RONI value necessary to determine the Market Outcome can be conclusively established prior to that date (e.g., the season has formally ended and all relevant values are final), expiration may be moved to an earlier date and time.
Regeln für jedes Ergebnis
- At least 2.5°C
- If the peak RONI value during the NDJ 2026-27 season is at least 2.5°C, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 2.0°C to 2.4°C
- If the peak RONI value during the NDJ 2026-27 season is between 2.0 and 2.4°C, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 1.0°C to 1.4°C
- If the peak RONI value during the NDJ 2026-27 season is between 1.0 and 1.4°C, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 1.5°C to 1.9°C
- If the peak RONI value during the NDJ 2026-27 season is between 1.5 and 1.9°C, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 0.5°C to 0.9°C
- If the peak RONI value during the NDJ 2026-27 season is between 0.5 and 0.9°C, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Below 0.5°C
- If the peak RONI value during the NDJ 2026-27 season is below 0.5°C, then the market resolves to Yes.