KalshiVerfügbarkeit prüfenKYC erforderlich2% GebührVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit
Richard Neal, ≥5% 90.8%Führend unter 11 OptionenMargenbereinigt: Die Rohquoten summierten sich auf über 100 % und wurden normalisiert.
Marktqualitat
≤49 / 100
Niedrige Qualität24h-Volumen
—
Liquidität
10.718,9 €
Mittlere LiquiditätSpread
1.0 pt
Enger SpreadMarktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 3 Minuten
27. Aug. 26, 19:45 UTC1. Sept. 27, 14:00 UTC
Trends
Regeln
If the margin of victory for Richard Neal in the 2026 MA-01 Democratic primary is at or above 5%, then the market resolves to Yes.
- The margin of victory is the vote share received by Richard Neal minus the vote share received by the candidate that finishes immediately behind Richard Neal if Richard Neal wins, or the candidate that finishes first if Richard Neal loses.
- If Richard Neal wins, the margin will be positive; if Richard Neal loses, the margin will be negative; if Richard Neal ties for first place, the margin shall be 0.
- Each margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, and no rounding shall be applied.
- For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range.
- If Richard Neal runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying candidate will be summed.
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Häufige Fragen
- Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für MA-01 Democratic primary margin of victory? (Richard Neal)?
- Kalshi bewertet Richard Neal, ≥5% mit 91% (Stand: 8. September 2026).
- Wann wird MA-01 Democratic primary margin of victory? (Richard Neal) entschieden?
- MA-01 Democratic primary margin of victory? (Richard Neal) soll am 1. September 2027 entschieden werden.
- Wie wird MA-01 Democratic primary margin of victory? (Richard Neal) abgerechnet?
- Kalshi rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: If the margin of victory for Richard Neal in the 2026 MA-01 Democratic primary is at or above 5%, then the market resolves to Yes.