How many Senators will vote for the American Affordability and Jobs Act?
PolitikOne-OffUS-Politik2Mon
KalshiVerfügbarkeit prüfenKYC erforderlichVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenGut kalibriertWarnung zur DatenqualitätVeraltete Daten
Daten vom 26.10.2026, 09:00 UTC · Richtlinie pm-quality-4
Mittelwert des gewählten Orderbuchs
Above 56 · —
Gewähltes Orderbuch wird geladen…
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Gespeicherter Preis
Above 56 75.5%Führend unter 8 Optionen
Above 56 75.5%Marktqualitat
18 / 100
Niedrige Qualität24h-Volumen
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Open Interest
246 $
Niedriges Open InterestGeld / Brief
— / —
Above 56Spread
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Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 1 Stunde
Verzogert30. Sept. 26, 22:00 UTC1. Jan. 27, 15:00 UTC
Chart und Änderungen zeigen gespeicherte historische Wahrscheinlichkeiten, nicht das gewählte aktuelle Orderbuch.
Trends
Gewählte Zeile: Orderbuch-Mittelwert. Andere Zeilen: gespeicherte, ggf. normalisierte Referenzwerte; 24h-Änderungen basieren auf gespeicherter Historie.
Handelsplatzbedingungen
Quelle: Kalshi
Diese Angaben dienen der Information; für den simulierten Handel bei CoinRithm gelten eigene Regeln.
- Vorzeitige Schließung:
- Ja
- Abrechnungsfrist:
- 5m (unverbindliche Angabe)
Markttiefe · Above 56
Gewähltes Orderbuch wird geladen…
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Regeln
If the number of Senators voting Yea on final passage of the Bipartisan American Affordability and Jobs Act of 2026 or other legislation containing its core permitting reforms before Jan 1, 2027 is above 68, then the market resolves to Yes.
Abwicklung über:Library of Congress
- The Bipartisan American Affordability and Jobs Act of 2026 counts under that name, including as amended. Other legislation, including a renamed version or a larger bill such as a defense authorization or government funding bill, counts if it includes all three of the Act's core permitting reforms: (1) deadlines for, or limits on judicial review of, environmental reviews under the National Environmental Policy Act; (2) limits on the federal government's ability to revoke, suspend or withdraw already-issued federal permits; and (3) new Federal Energy Regulatory Commission authority over the siting or cost allocation of interstate electric transmission lines. If the Senate's first vote clearing qualifying legislation is on a conference report or on a motion to concur in a House amendment, that vote counts as the final vote on passage. The vote must occur in the relevant full chamber (that is, not a Committee vote, though not every member of the chamber needs to have participated in the vote). If no vote has occurred before the specified date, then any market not including "zero" within its count (e.g. "Between 50 and 64") resolves to No, and any market including "zero" (e.g. "Below 50") resolves to Yes. If the vote count is not specified but the bill is passed, any market including "100" for the Senate and "435" for the House of Representatives (e.g. "Between 65 and 100" or "Between 300 and 435") will resolve to Yes, and any market not including "100" or "435", respectively, (e.g. "Below 65") resolves to No. Once the market has expired, a request by any Member of Congress to add, remove, or alter a vote shall not be considered for purposes of resolving this market, regardless of any change to the official vote tally reported by the website Congress.gov or any other official source.
Regeln für jedes Ergebnis
- Above 56
- If the number of Senators voting Yea on final passage of the Bipartisan American Affordability and Jobs Act of 2026 or other legislation containing its core permitting reforms before Jan 1, 2027 is above 56, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 60
- If the number of Senators voting Yea on final passage of the Bipartisan American Affordability and Jobs Act of 2026 or other legislation containing its core permitting reforms before Jan 1, 2027 is above 60, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 64
- If the number of Senators voting Yea on final passage of the Bipartisan American Affordability and Jobs Act of 2026 or other legislation containing its core permitting reforms before Jan 1, 2027 is above 64, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 68
- If the number of Senators voting Yea on final passage of the Bipartisan American Affordability and Jobs Act of 2026 or other legislation containing its core permitting reforms before Jan 1, 2027 is above 68, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 72
- If the number of Senators voting Yea on final passage of the Bipartisan American Affordability and Jobs Act of 2026 or other legislation containing its core permitting reforms before Jan 1, 2027 is above 72, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 76
- If the number of Senators voting Yea on final passage of the Bipartisan American Affordability and Jobs Act of 2026 or other legislation containing its core permitting reforms before Jan 1, 2027 is above 76, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 80
- If the number of Senators voting Yea on final passage of the Bipartisan American Affordability and Jobs Act of 2026 or other legislation containing its core permitting reforms before Jan 1, 2027 is above 80, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 84
- If the number of Senators voting Yea on final passage of the Bipartisan American Affordability and Jobs Act of 2026 or other legislation containing its core permitting reforms before Jan 1, 2027 is above 84, then the market resolves to Yes.
