KalshiVerfügbarkeit prüfenKYC erforderlich2% GebührVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit
Nein 99%
Marktqualitat
≤49 / 100
Niedrige Qualität24h-Volumen
—
Liquidität
2625,8 €
Mittlere LiquiditätGeld / Brief
1.0% / 3.0%
Spread
2.0 pt
Enger SpreadMarktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 4 Minuten
27. Aug. 26, 20:02 UTC1. Okt. 26, 03:59 UTC
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Will Trump rename an ocean in 2026?
PolymarketWhen will Trump rename something else?
KalshiWill Trump rename the Strait of Hormuz?
KalshiWill Trump rename the Strait of Hormuz after himself?
KalshiWill Trump attempt to rename an ocean by the end of his term?
Manifold MarketsWhat geographic features will Trump rename? [read description]
Manifold MarketsRegeln
If Donald Trump has taken any signed executive action renaming any ocean before Oct 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- The qualifying action must be of the specific type designated (executive order, presidential memorandum, proclamation, directive, determination, or finding), be signed by the President personally during the specified time period, and explicitly address the topic in the document's operative provisions, title, or official White House summary.
- Actions must have legal or policy effect - ceremonial proclamations without policy impact do not qualify unless specifically included.
- Actions that only incidentally mention the topic, statements without formal action, actions by cabinet members, legislative proposals without executive action, and signing statements do not qualify.
- The action must be publicly announced or documented by a Source Agency before expiration.
- Ocean means the Atlantic, Pacific, Indian, Arctic, or Southern Ocean.
Offene Märkte
PoliticsPOLYMARKETPresidential Election Winner 2028
- JD Vance-0.1pt25%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez13%
- Jon Ossoff12%
+49 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 605,7 Mio. €
- 24h-Volumen
- 697.653 €
POLYMARKETBrazil Presidential Election
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva-6.0pt53%
- Flávio Bolsonaro+5.5pt45%
- Renan Santos-0.2pt1%
+16 weitere Ergebnisse
POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance50%
- Marco Rubio-0.1pt20%
- Tucker Carlson3%
+39 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 603,2 Mio. €
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Jon Ossoff17%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez16%
- Gavin Newsom14%
+45 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 183,4 Mio. €
- 24h-Volumen
- 471.295,9 €
POLYMARKETWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- United Russia (ER)+5.5pt74.3%
- New People (NL)-3.8pt21.8%
- Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)-1.1pt3%
POLYMARKETNext French Presidential Election
- Marine Le Pen+0.3pt36.4%
- Édouard Philippe+2.0pt31.3%
- Jean-Luc Mélenchon-1.0pt12.1%
+38 weitere Ergebnisse
- US announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- Which party will win the U.S. House?
- 2028 Republican presidential nominee
- Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- Russia Parliamentary Election Winner
- New Hampshire Democratic Senate nominee?
- Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
- Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
- South Carolina Senate winner?
- Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?
- NH-01 Democratic nominee?
Häufige Fragen
- Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für Will Trump rename any ocean before October??
- Kalshi bewertet No mit 99% (Stand: 8. September 2026).
- Wann wird Will Trump rename any ocean before October? entschieden?
- Will Trump rename any ocean before October? soll am 1. Oktober 2026 entschieden werden.
- Wie wird Will Trump rename any ocean before October? abgerechnet?
- Kalshi rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: If Donald Trump has taken any signed executive action renaming any ocean before Oct 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.