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  1. Prognosemärkte
  2. Politik
  3. What will Gavin Newsom say during his CA election announcement?
What will Gavin Newsom say during his CA election announcement?

What will Gavin Newsom say during his CA election announcement?

Politik
KalshiKalshiGeschlossenVerfügbarkeit prüfenKYC erforderlich2% Gebühr

Dieser Markt wurde entschieden: 2028 / Campaign (99%)

Entschieden: 28.05.2026, 00:44

Gewinnausgang

2028 / Campaign

7 Tage vorher

—

24 Stunden vorher

—

Aktuelle implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit
2028 / Campaign
2028 / Campaign 99%
Führend unter 15 Optionen
Marktqualitat

63 / 100

Mittlere Qualität
24h-Volumen

1381 €

Liquidität

1282 €

Niedrige Liquidität
Geld / Brief

99.0% / 100.0%

Spread

1.0%

Enger Spread
Marktdaten

Aktualisiert vor 16 Tagen

Veraltet
27. Mai 26, 20:0711. Juni 26, 14:00

Wahrscheinlichkeitsverlauf

2028 / Campaign99%
Afford / Affordable / Affordability1%
Republican1%
Corrupt / Corruption1%
Oil / Gas / Gasoline1%
Fraud1%
AI / Artificial Intelligence99%
Iran / Iranian1%
Trump (3+ times)99%
Redistrict / Redistricted / Redistricting99%
Event does not qualify1%
ID / Identification99%
Spencer / Pratt1%
Democracy99%
Karen / Bass1%
0%25%50%75%100%27. Mai
Ergebnis24hWahrscheinlichkeit
2028 / Campaign
2028 / Campaign
99%
Afford / Affordable / Affordability
Afford / Affordable / Affordability
1%
Republican
Republican
1%
Corrupt / Corruption
Corrupt / Corruption
1%
Oil / Gas / Gasoline
Oil / Gas / Gasoline
1%
Fraud
Fraud
1%

Dieser Markt ist geschlossen. Demo-Trading ist nur bei offenen Märkten verfügbar.

Regeln

If Gavin Newsom says 2028 / Campaign as part of Governor Newsom announces new action to safeguard California’s elections, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi
  • Video of the Governor Newsom announces new action to safeguard California’s elections will be primarily used to resolve the market; if a consensus by Kalshi employees cannot be reached using video, internal & external (official) transcripts of the Governor Newsom announces new action to safeguard California’s elections will be used.
  • Payout Criterion: The exact phrase/word, or a plural or possessive form of the phrase/word, must be used.
  • Grammatical/tense inflections are otherwise not included.
  • Plural nouns occurring within proper nouns and noun phrases (e.g. names, titles, etc) are included.
  • For the purpose of this market, the live broadcast or stream will be used to resolve this event.

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In diesen Themen aktiv

BitcoinBTC$64,146.19+1.20%SolanaSOL$67.93+1.75%EthereumETH$1,679.27+0.86%AvalancheAVAX$6.68+1.19%DogecoinDOGE$0.0882+1.47%

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Regeln

If Gavin Newsom says 2028 / Campaign as part of Governor Newsom announces new action to safeguard California’s elections, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi
  • Video of the Governor Newsom announces new action to safeguard California’s elections will be primarily used to resolve the market; if a consensus by Kalshi employees cannot be reached using video, internal & external (official) transcripts of the Governor Newsom announces new action to safeguard California’s elections will be used.
  • Payout Criterion: The exact phrase/word, or a plural or possessive form of the phrase/word, must be used.
  • Grammatical/tense inflections are otherwise not included.
  • Plural nouns occurring within proper nouns and noun phrases (e.g. names, titles, etc) are included.
  • For the purpose of this market, the live broadcast or stream will be used to resolve this event.