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Daten vom 08.09.2026, 17:10 UTC · Richtlinie pm-quality-3
Aktuelle implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit
Democrats, 17+ pts 0%Führend unter 9 Optionen
Marktqualitat
24 / 100
Niedrige Qualität24h-Volumen
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Liquidität
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Liquidität unbekanntSpread
9.8 pt
Breiter SpreadMarktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 7 Minuten
1. Sept. 26, 14:00 UTC3. Nov. 27, 15:00 UTC
Trends
0%
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0%
0%
0%
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0%
Regeln
If the Democratic Party wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election in California's 51st District by 17 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.
- The margin of victory shall be calculated as follows based on the margin type.
- For percentage points: the vote percentage received by the Democratic Party minus the vote percentage received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind the Democratic Party if the Democratic Party wins, or the candidate/party that finishes first if the Democratic Party loses.
- Each margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound.
- No rounding shall be applied to the calculated margin.
- For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range.
Offene Märkte
Politics
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Häufige Fragen
- Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für California's 51st District margin of victory?
- Kalshi bewertet Democrats, 17+ pts mit 0% (Stand: 8. September 2026).
- Wann wird California's 51st District margin of victory entschieden?
- California's 51st District margin of victory soll am 3. November 2027 entschieden werden.
- Wie wird California's 51st District margin of victory abgerechnet?
- Kalshi rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: If the Democratic Party wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election in California's 51st District by 17 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.