KalshiVerfügbarkeit prüfenKYC erforderlich2% GebührVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenGrob kalibriertAktuelle implizite WahrscheinlichkeitRepublicans, 36+ pts 97%Führend unter 9 Optionen
Marktqualitat
48 / 100
Niedrige Qualität24h-Volumen
1982,4 €
Liquidität
1982,4 €
Niedrige LiquiditätGeld / Brief
69.0% / 75.0%
Spread
6.0 pt
Breiter SpreadMarktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 26 Minuten
5. Mai 26, 20:213. Nov. 27, 15:00
Trends
Nur virtuelles Guthaben – kein echtes GeldKeine Finanzberatung
Gewähltes Ergebnis
Republicans, 33+ pts75%
Verwandte Märkte
Ohio's 7th District margin of victory
1993,9 €Republicans, 4+ pts: 30%KALSHI
KALSHIArkansas's 1st District margin of victory
1353,2 €Republicans, 36+ pts: 72%KALSHI
KALSHIMichigan's 7th District margin of victory
440,5 €Democrats, 7+ pts: 22%KALSHI
KALSHISouth Carolina Senate margin of victory
367,2 €Republicans, 9+ pts: 38%KALSHI
KALSHITexas Senate margin of victory
176,5 €Ken Paxton, 3+ pts: 46%KALSHI
KALSHITexas Senate margin of victory
175,8 €James Talarico, 5+ pts: 11%KALSHI
KALSHIIn diesen Themen aktiv
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If the Republican Party wins the 2026 U.S.
- House of Representatives election in Arkansas's 4th District by 24 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.
- The margin of victory shall be calculated as follows based on the margin type.
- For percentage points: the vote percentage received by the Republican Party minus the vote percentage received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind the Republican Party if the Republican Party wins, or the candidate/party that finishes first if the Republican Party loses.
- Each margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound.
- No rounding shall be applied to the calculated margin.