Aktuelle implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit
72° to 73° 13%Führend unter 6 Optionen
Marktqualitat
52 / 100
Mittlere Qualität24h-Volumen
3112,5 €
Liquidität
2612,9 €
Mittlere LiquiditätGeld / Brief
12.0% / 15.0%
Spread
25.0%
Breiter SpreadMarktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 2 Minuten
3. Juli 26, 14:005. Juli 26, 6:00
Trends
Nur virtuelles Guthaben – kein echtes GeldKeine Finanzberatung
Gewähltes Ergebnis
72° to 73°13%
Verwandte Märkte
Lowest temperature in Chicago on Jul 3, 2026?
67.578,8 €70° or below: 99%
KALSHI
KALSHI
Highest temperature in LA on Jul 3, 2026?
329.817,1 €75° or above: 1%KALSHI
KALSHI
Highest temperature in NYC on Jul 3, 2026?
275.531,2 €100° to 101°: 1%KALSHI
KALSHI
Highest temperature in Hong Kong on July 4?
107.351,1 €31°C: 72%
POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
Highest temperature in Shanghai on July 4?
90.506,4 €34°C: 54%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
Highest temperature in Guangzhou on July 4?
70.582,5 €30°C: 39%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKETIn diesen Themen aktiv
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If the minimum temperature recorded at Chicago for Jul 4, 2026, is less than 68° fahrenheit according to the National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily), then the market resolves to Yes.
- Data for CLIMDW can be found by clicking the following URL: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/Climate?wfo=lot, navigating to the "Observed Weather" tab, and choosing the location "Chicago - Midway, IL" with Daily Climate Report selected.
- Please use the latest version of the data for the desired date, keeping in mind that different cities update their reports at different frequencies.
- Not all weather data is the same.
- While checking a source like AccuWeather or Google Weather may help guide your decision, the official and final value used to determine this market is the maximum/minimum temperature as reported by the corresponding NWS Climatological Report (Daily) linked in the rules above.
- Preliminary NWS reporting and measurement methods may be subject to underlying rounding and conversion nuances.