Aktuelle implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit
70° or below 99%+79.0%Führend unter 6 Optionen
Marktqualitat
100 / 100
Hohe Qualität24h-Volumen
70.034,4 €
Liquidität
50.412,4 €
Hohe LiquiditätGeld / Brief
99.0% / 100.0%
Spread
1.0%
Enger SpreadMarktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 3 Minuten
2. Juli 26, 14:004. Juli 26, 6:00
Trends
Nur virtuelles Guthaben – kein echtes GeldKeine Finanzberatung
Gewähltes Ergebnis
70° or below99%
Verwandte Märkte
Lowest temperature in Chicago on Jul 4, 2026?
1764,1 €68° to 69°: 30%
KALSHI
KALSHI
Highest temperature in LA on Jul 3, 2026?
324.984,2 €75° or above: 1%KALSHI
KALSHI
Highest temperature in NYC on Jul 3, 2026?
266.349,9 €100° to 101°: 1%KALSHI
KALSHI
Highest temperature in Hong Kong on July 4?
81.622,9 €31°C: 46%
POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
Highest temperature in Guangzhou on July 4?
66.964,2 €29°C: 28%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
Highest temperature in Shanghai on July 4?
61.503,6 €33°C: 42%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKETIn diesen Themen aktiv
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If the minimum temperature recorded at Chicago for Jul 3, 2026, is less than 71° fahrenheit according to the National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily), then the market resolves to Yes.
- Data for CLIMDW can be found by clicking the following URL: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/Climate?wfo=lot, navigating to the "Observed Weather" tab, and choosing the location "Chicago - Midway, IL" with Daily Climate Report selected.
- Please use the latest version of the data for the desired date, keeping in mind that different cities update their reports at different frequencies.
- Not all weather data is the same.
- While checking a source like AccuWeather or Google Weather may help guide your decision, the official and final value used to determine this market is the maximum/minimum temperature as reported by the corresponding NWS Climatological Report (Daily) linked in the rules above.
- Preliminary NWS reporting and measurement methods may be subject to underlying rounding and conversion nuances.