Aktuelle implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit
100° to 101° 1%-34.0%Führend unter 6 Optionen
Marktqualitat
77 / 100
Hohe Qualität24h-Volumen
224.615,8 €
Liquidität
138.528,9 €
Hohe LiquiditätGeld / Brief
- / 1.0%
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 11 Minuten
2. Juli 26, 14:004. Juli 26, 4:59
Trends
Nur virtuelles Guthaben – kein echtes GeldKeine Finanzberatung
Gewähltes Ergebnis
100° to 101°1%
Auch verfügbar auf Polymarket
Highest temperature in NYC on July 4?
13Std
38%
20%
17%
+8 weitere Ergebnisse
100 • Hohe QualitätEnger SpreadHohe LiquiditätHohe Mehrdeutigkeit
Gesamtvolumen22.813,9 €
24h-Volumen22.813,9 €
POLYMARKETRegeln
If the highest temperature recorded in Central Park, New York for July 03, 2026 as reported by the National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily), is less than 98°, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Not all weather data is the same.
- While checking a source like AccuWeather or Google Weather may help guide your decision, the official and final value used to determine this market is the highest temperature as reported by the corresponding NWS Climatological Report (Daily) linked in the rules above.
- Preliminary NWS reporting and measurement methods may be subject to underlying rounding and conversion nuances.
- Traders should exercise caution when interpreting preliminary NWS data.
- If the highest temperature recorded in Central Park, New York for July 03, 2026 as reported by the National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily), is between 98-99°, then the market resolves to Yes.
Wahrscheinlichkeiten können aufgrund unterschiedlicher Marktstrukturen, Gebühren und Teilnehmerpools abweichen.
Verwandte Märkte
Highest temperature in NYC on Jul 4, 2026?
9271,3 €104° to 105°: 2%KALSHI
KALSHI
Highest temperature in LA on Jul 3, 2026?
297.206,6 €71° to 72°: 1%KALSHI
KALSHI
Highest temperature in Miami on Jul 3, 2026?
150.875,1 €90° to 91°: 89%KALSHI
KALSHI
Highest temperature in Hong Kong on July 4?
56.872,9 €30°C: 49%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
Highest temperature in Guangzhou on July 4?
50.567,7 €30°C: 37%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
Highest temperature in London on July 4?
41.129,2 €28°C: 50%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKETIn diesen Themen aktiv
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If the highest temperature recorded in Central Park, New York for July 03, 2026 as reported by the National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily), is less than 98°, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Not all weather data is the same.
- While checking a source like AccuWeather or Google Weather may help guide your decision, the official and final value used to determine this market is the highest temperature as reported by the corresponding NWS Climatological Report (Daily) linked in the rules above.
- Preliminary NWS reporting and measurement methods may be subject to underlying rounding and conversion nuances.
- Traders should exercise caution when interpreting preliminary NWS data.
- If the highest temperature recorded in Central Park, New York for July 03, 2026 as reported by the National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily), is between 98-99°, then the market resolves to Yes.