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  1. Prognosemärkte
  2. Politik
  3. Louisiana Republican Senate primary: margin of victory
Louisiana Republican Senate primary: margin of victory

Louisiana Republican Senate primary: margin of victory

Politik
KalshiKalshiGeschlossenVerfügbarkeit prüfenKYC erforderlich2% Gebühr

Dieser Markt wurde entschieden: Julia Letlow, 9%+ (100%)

Entschieden: 02.06.2026, 22:48

Gewinnausgang

Julia Letlow, 9%+

7 Tage vorher

—

24 Stunden vorher

—

Aktuelle implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit
Julia Letlow, 0-3%
Julia Letlow, 0-3% 0%
Führend unter 12 Optionen
Marktqualitat

28 / 100

Niedrige Qualität
24h-Volumen

0 €

Liquidität

710,3 €

Niedrige Liquidität
Geld / Brief

- / 0.1%

Marktdaten

Aktualisiert vor 10 Tagen

Veraltet
19. März 26, 14:0016. Mai 27, 14:00

Wahrscheinlichkeitsverlauf

Julia Letlow, 9%+100%
Julia Letlow, 0-3%0%
John Fleming, 0-3%0%
John Fleming, 3-6%0%
John Fleming, 6-9%0%
John Fleming, 9%+0%
Bill Cassidy, 0-3%0%
Bill Cassidy, 3-6%0%
Bill Cassidy, 6-9%0%
Bill Cassidy, 9%+0%
0%25%50%75%100%2. Juni2. Juni2. Juni
Ergebnis24hWahrscheinlichkeit
Julia Letlow, 3-6%
Julia Letlow, 3-6%
1%
Julia Letlow, 0-3%
Julia Letlow, 0-3%
0%
Julia Letlow, 6-9%
Julia Letlow, 6-9%
0%
Julia Letlow, 9%+
Julia Letlow, 9%+
100%
John Fleming, 0-3%
John Fleming, 0-3%
0%
John Fleming, 3-6%
John Fleming, 3-6%
0%

Dieser Markt ist geschlossen. Demo-Trading ist nur bei offenen Märkten verfügbar.

Regeln

If the margin of victory for Julia Letlow in the first round of the 2026 Louisiana Republican Senate primary falls between 0% and 3%, inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi
  • The margin of victory shall be calculated as follows based on the margin type.
  • For percentage points: the vote percentage received by Julia Letlow minus the vote percentage received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Julia Letlow if Julia Letlow wins, or the candidate/party that finishes first if Julia Letlow loses.
  • For raw votes: the total votes received by Julia Letlow minus the total votes received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Julia Letlow if Julia Letlow wins, or the candidate/party/option that finishes first if Julia Letlow loses.
  • For electoral votes: the electoral votes received by Julia Letlow minus the electoral votes received by the candidate/party/option with the second-most electoral votes if Julia Letlow wins, or the electoral votes received by Julia Letlow minus the electoral votes received by the candidate/party/option with the most electoral votes if Julia Letlow does not.
  • Each margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound.

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Regeln

If the margin of victory for Julia Letlow in the first round of the 2026 Louisiana Republican Senate primary falls between 0% and 3%, inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi
  • The margin of victory shall be calculated as follows based on the margin type.
  • For percentage points: the vote percentage received by Julia Letlow minus the vote percentage received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Julia Letlow if Julia Letlow wins, or the candidate/party that finishes first if Julia Letlow loses.
  • For raw votes: the total votes received by Julia Letlow minus the total votes received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Julia Letlow if Julia Letlow wins, or the candidate/party/option that finishes first if Julia Letlow loses.
  • For electoral votes: the electoral votes received by Julia Letlow minus the electoral votes received by the candidate/party/option with the second-most electoral votes if Julia Letlow wins, or the electoral votes received by Julia Letlow minus the electoral votes received by the candidate/party/option with the most electoral votes if Julia Letlow does not.
  • Each margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound.