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  1. Prognosemärkte
  2. Regulierung
  3. Will Japan lower its food consumption tax in 2026?
Will Japan lower its food consumption tax in 2026?

Will Japan lower its food consumption tax in 2026?

RegulierungYearlyEuropeMacro & Economy6Mon
KalshiKalshiVerfügbarkeit prüfenKYC erforderlich2% Gebühr
Aktuelle implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit
Ja
Ja 71%
Marktqualitat

40 / 100

Niedrige Qualität
24h-Volumen

0 €

Liquidität

13,3 €

Niedrige Liquidität
Geld / Brief

70.0% / 74.0%

Spread

5.7%

Mittlerer Spread
Marktdaten

Aktualisiert vor 2 Minuten

20. Jan. 26, 0:001. Jan. 27, 4:59

Trends

Ergebnis24hWahrscheinlichkeit

Gewähltes Ergebnis

Yes71%

Regeln

If Japan has agreed to or announced any reduction, suspension, or elimination of the current national 8% food consumption tax before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi
  • An agreement or announcement qualifies if it involves formal signing of treaties, parliamentary approval with binding effect, official ratification, formal commitment by the head of state/government with constitutional authority, official statements by authorized ministers, official press releases, formal declarations during government proceedings, or official statements to international bodies.
  • Phased implementation announcements and multi-party agreements where the country is a signatory qualify.
  • Preliminary discussions, conditional agreements contingent on circumstances, opposition party statements, leaked documents, think-tank recommendations, campaign promises, general aspirations without specific commitment, draft legislation without approval, and regional actions (unless specified) do NOT qualify.
  • Retraction of previously announced commitments also does not satisfy the criterion.

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Regeln

If Japan has agreed to or announced any reduction, suspension, or elimination of the current national 8% food consumption tax before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi
  • An agreement or announcement qualifies if it involves formal signing of treaties, parliamentary approval with binding effect, official ratification, formal commitment by the head of state/government with constitutional authority, official statements by authorized ministers, official press releases, formal declarations during government proceedings, or official statements to international bodies.
  • Phased implementation announcements and multi-party agreements where the country is a signatory qualify.
  • Preliminary discussions, conditional agreements contingent on circumstances, opposition party statements, leaked documents, think-tank recommendations, campaign promises, general aspirations without specific commitment, draft legislation without approval, and regional actions (unless specified) do NOT qualify.
  • Retraction of previously announced commitments also does not satisfy the criterion.