KalshiVerfügbarkeit prüfenKYC erforderlich2% GebührVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenGrob kalibriertAktuelle implizite WahrscheinlichkeitJace Yarbrough 79.6%
Marktqualitat
63 / 100
Mittlere Qualität24h-Volumen
202,4 €
Liquidität
5003,5 €
Mittlere LiquiditätGeld / Brief
19.0% / 21.0%
Spread
2.0 pt
Enger SpreadMarktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 16 Minuten
14. Okt. 25, 14:003. Nov. 27, 15:00
Trends
Nur virtuelles Guthaben – kein echtes GeldKeine Finanzberatung
Gewähltes Ergebnis
Dan Barrios21%
Plattformen vergleichen· Jace Yarbrough
Sortiert nach Marktqualität, dann Liquidität und 24-h-Volumen| Plattform | Qualität | Wahrscheinlichkeit | vs. Referenz | 24h Vol | Liq | Aktualität | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| KalshiDiese SeiteBeste insgesamt | Mittel | 82% | — | 202,4 € | 5003,5 € | vor 16 Minuten | |
 Polymarket60% Übereinstimmung · geprüft | Mittel | 77% | — | 28,1 € | 3370,7 € | vor 16 Minuten | Öffnen → |
Auch verfügbar auf Polymarket
TX-32 House Election Winner
1.0 pts3Mon
+1.0pt75.5%
24.5%
0%
+5 weitere Ergebnisse
61 • Mittlere QualitätEnger SpreadMittlere Liquidität
Gesamtvolumen24.837,6 €
24h-Volumen28,1 €
POLYMARKETRegeln
If the House member sworn in for TX-32 for the term beginning in 2027 is a member of the Democratic Party, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the House member sworn in for TX-32 for the term beginning in 2027 is a member of the Republican Party, then the market resolves to Yes.
Wahrscheinlichkeiten können aufgrund unterschiedlicher Marktstrukturen, Gebühren und Teilnehmerpools abweichen.
Volumentrend
$2304. Juli15T Daten28. Juli
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If the House member sworn in for TX-32 for the term beginning in 2027 is a member of the Democratic Party, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the House member sworn in for TX-32 for the term beginning in 2027 is a member of the Republican Party, then the market resolves to Yes.