KalshiGeschlossenVerfügbarkeit prüfenKYC erforderlich2% GebührVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenGrob kalibriertDieser Markt wurde entschieden: Before Jul 16, 2026 (99%)
Entschieden: 14.07.2026, 15:15
Vom Anbieter verifizierte Auflösung
CoinRithm hat anbietergestützte Nachweise für Gewinner und Auflösungszeit dieses Marktes.
Abwicklungsnachweis
- Aktuelles Ergebnis
- Before Jul 16, 2026
- Erfasst
- 16.07.2026, 07:39
- Beobachtungen
- 1
- Revisionen
- 0
- Methode
- resolution_watch
Aktuelle implizite WahrscheinlichkeitBefore Jan 1, 2027 100%Führend unter 7 Optionen
Marktqualitat
49 / 100
Niedrige Qualität24h-Volumen
907,3 €
Liquidität
242.795,5 €
Hohe LiquiditätGeld / Brief
99.0% / 100.0%
Spread
1.0 pt
Enger SpreadMarktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 13 Tagen
Veraltet24. Juni 26, 17:0016. Juli 26, 3:59
Wahrscheinlichkeitsverlauf
Before Jun 28, 20261%
Before Jul 4, 20261%
Before Jan 1, 2027100%
Before Aug 1, 202699%
Before Jul 16, 202699%
99%
1%
5%
1%
3%
99%
Dieser Markt ist geschlossen. Demo-Trading ist nur bei offenen Märkten verfügbar.
Plattformen vergleichen· Before Jan 1, 2027
Sortiert nach Marktqualität, dann Liquidität und 24-h-Volumen| Plattform | Qualität | Wahrscheinlichkeit | vs. Referenz | 24h Vol | Liq | Aktualität | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| KalshiDiese SeiteBeste insgesamt | Niedrig | 100% | — | 907,3 € | 242.795,5 € | vor 13 Tagen | |
 Manifold Markets75% Übereinstimmung · auto | — | 98% | — | — | — | vor 16 Tagen | Öffnen → |
Auch verfügbar auf Manifold Markets
By what date will the 21st Century Road to Housing Act become law?
5Mon
+6.1pt97.9%
+6.9pt97.8%
+6.5pt97.8%
+4 weitere Ergebnisse
Community-Prognose6 PrognostikerTyp: multiple choice
MANIFOLD MARKETSRegeln
If a bill becomes law that imposes an excise tax on investment firm ownership of single-family homes (including if the tax is only imposed on newly bought homes) or bans investment firms from owning single-family homes outright (or which bans buying new homes) before Jun 28, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- An example of such a bill is here.
- Such legislation can have an assets under management or net value requirement for the funds and still be included within the Payout Criterion (e.g. it only applies to funds with assets under management of at least $50 million).
- Such legislation may also only tax certain assets, e.g. only second and third homes but not first owned by a firm.
- Clarification: A bill satisfies the Payout Criterion if it establishes a baseline prohibition or tax on institutional investors buying single-family homes, regardless of specific statutory carve-outs, asset exemptions, or firm-size thresholds.
- For example, the May 14 House-amended version of the 21st Century ROAD to Housing Act qualifies because it explicitly bans these purchases, and the inclusion of various transaction exceptions (such as build-to-rent programs) does not disqualify it.
Wahrscheinlichkeiten können aufgrund unterschiedlicher Marktstrukturen, Gebühren und Teilnehmerpools abweichen.
Große Trades
$5.0k99.9%KALSHIBefore Jan 1, 2027 — Yesvor 17 Tagen
KALSHIBefore Jan 1, 2027 — Yesvor 17 Tagen$1.3k99.9%KALSHIBefore Jan 1, 2027 — Yesvor 17 Tagen
KALSHIBefore Jan 1, 2027 — Yesvor 17 Tagen$4.8k98.0%KALSHIBefore Jul 16, 2026 — Yesvor 19 Tagen
KALSHIBefore Jul 16, 2026 — Yesvor 19 Tagen$2.9k98.0%KALSHIBefore Jul 7, 2026 — Novor 22 Tagen
KALSHIBefore Jul 7, 2026 — Novor 22 TagenVolumentrend
$1.0k2. Juli13T Daten14. Juli
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Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?
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Will the cap on gambling loss reduction be repealed?
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If a bill becomes law that imposes an excise tax on investment firm ownership of single-family homes (including if the tax is only imposed on newly bought homes) or bans investment firms from owning single-family homes outright (or which bans buying new homes) before Jun 28, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- An example of such a bill is here.
- Such legislation can have an assets under management or net value requirement for the funds and still be included within the Payout Criterion (e.g. it only applies to funds with assets under management of at least $50 million).
- Such legislation may also only tax certain assets, e.g. only second and third homes but not first owned by a firm.
- Clarification: A bill satisfies the Payout Criterion if it establishes a baseline prohibition or tax on institutional investors buying single-family homes, regardless of specific statutory carve-outs, asset exemptions, or firm-size thresholds.
- For example, the May 14 House-amended version of the 21st Century ROAD to Housing Act qualifies because it explicitly bans these purchases, and the inclusion of various transaction exceptions (such as build-to-rent programs) does not disqualify it.