KalshiVerfügbarkeit prüfenKYC erforderlichVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit
Nein 71%
Nein 71%Marktqualitat
73 / 100
Mittlere Qualität24h-Volumen
12.884,1 €
Open Interest
44.481,9 €
Hohes Open InterestGeld / Brief
26.0% / 30.0%
Spread
4.0 pt
Mittlerer SpreadMarktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 2 Minuten
21. Sept. 26, 18:00 UTC3. Nov. 26, 04:59 UTC
Trends
Handelsplatzbedingungen
Quelle: Kalshi
Diese Angaben dienen der Information; für den simulierten Handel bei CoinRithm gelten eigene Regeln.
- Vorzeitige Schließung:
- Ja
- Abrechnungsfrist:
- 30m (unverbindliche Angabe)
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Will the US ban CBDC in 2026?
KalshiWill the US ban mail-in ballots for the 2026 midterm elections?
FutuurWill the US ban software patents before 2033 ?
Manifold MarketsWill the US ban open-weight AI models, and what happens to OpenAI + Anthropic's valuation if it does?
Manifold Markets2026 Midterms: Congress Balance of Power?
Kalshi2028 Democratic presidential nominee
KalshiRegeln
If the United States has imposed a ban on exports of diesel that has gone into effect after Issuance and before Nov 3, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Abwicklung über:The GuardianFox NewsThe InformationMSNBCABCBBC NewsCBSNBCthe New York TimesThe Wall Street JournalReutersCNNABC News AustraliaAxiosSemaforPoliticoThe Washington Postthe Associated PressCBC (Canada)Bloomberg News
- Only reporting from any of the Source Agencies qualifies for the purposes of this market.
- Reports that merely reference prior publications (from before Issuance) do not qualify.
- Republishing of content originally produced by other sources (e.g., wire services) only qualifies if the content is hosted on the outlet's official platform and the outlet is clearly identified as the publishing entity.
