Colombian presidential election first round winner?

74.4% (24h)Politik

KalshiGeschlossenVerfügbarkeit prüfenKYC erforderlich2% Gebühr

Dieser Markt wurde entschieden: Abelardo de la Espriella (96%)

Entschieden: 01.06.2026, 13:18

Gewinnausgang

Abelardo de la Espriella

7 Tage vorher

—

24 Stunden vorher

24%

Überraschung

Aktuelle implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit

Abelardo de la Espriella 96%+74.4%

Führend unter 5 Optionen

Marktqualitat

79 / 100

Hohe Qualität

24h-Volumen

3133,7 €

Liquidität

3996,1 €

Mittlere Liquidität

Geld / Brief

96.3% / 98.7%

Spread

2.5%

Enger Spread

Marktdaten

Aktualisiert vor 12 Tagen

Veraltet

5. März 26, 15:0031. Mai 27, 14:00

Wahrscheinlichkeitsverlauf

Abelardo de la Espriella96%

Iván Cepeda Castro61%

Ergebnis24hWahrscheinlichkeit

Abelardo de la Espriella

+74.4%

96%

Iván Cepeda Castro

-76.3%

Paloma Valencia

Sergio Fajardo

Daniel Quintero

Dieser Markt ist geschlossen. Demo-Trading ist nur bei offenen Märkten verfügbar.

Regeln

If Iván Cepeda Castro wins the first round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election, then the market resolves to Yes.

For parliamentary elections, the party or coalition with the most seats wins.
If two parties tie in seats: the one entering government will resolve to YES and all others to NO If both or neither enter government, the one with the higher share of the vote will resolve to YES and all others to NO For coalitions/alliances, only those formally registered with electoral authorities before the nomination deadline count, not post-election governing arrangements Overhang seats, leveling seats, and appointed seats count only if specified
For referenda/plebiscites, the specified option achieves the required threshold per applicable law (simple majority, supermajority, dual majority, turnout requirements).
If multiple thresholds exist (e.g., majority of votes AND majority of states), all must be met
For presidential or direct elections, the candidate who wins according to the electoral system (electoral college, popular vote, or runoff as applicable) and either (i) is inaugurated/sworn in/takes office, or (ii) the scheduled inauguration date passes without a different candidate taking office is the winner.

Verwandte Märkte

US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by...?

4,1 Mio. €

July 31: 86%

POLYMARKET

Next French Presidential Election

924.848 €

Jordan Bardella: 27%

POLYMARKET

Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028

847.819,4 €

Gavin Newsom: 23%

POLYMARKET

Massachusetts Governor's Race: Which party will win in 2026?

15.065,8 €

Democratic Party: 96.6%

MANIFOLD MARKETS

New York Governor's Race: Which party will win in 2026?

9235,8 €

Democratic Party: 92.1%

MANIFOLD MARKETS

Starmer out before July?

9088,1 €

Ja: 17.2%

MANIFOLD MARKETS

In diesen Themen aktiv

BitcoinBTC$64,159.92+1.22%

SolanaSOL$67.95+1.78%

EthereumETH$1,679.60+0.88%

AvalancheAVAX$6.68+1.22%

DogecoinDOGE$0.0883+1.50%

Verwandte Nachrichten

Former Epstein assistant Lesley Groff appears before House panel Crypto News

Congress nears final vote on $70 billion immigration funding packageCrypto News

Trump unlikely to exit by June 30, Polymarket odds swing sideBlockchain.News

House GOP eyes summer vote on prediction market restrictions for lawmakersCointelegraph

Crypto Tycoons Fund Reform UK with $12.5M in Q1 DonationsBlockchain.News

Crypto billionaires bankroll Nigel Farage's pro-crypto partyCointelegraph

Regeln

If Iván Cepeda Castro wins the first round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election, then the market resolves to Yes.

For parliamentary elections, the party or coalition with the most seats wins.
If two parties tie in seats: the one entering government will resolve to YES and all others to NO If both or neither enter government, the one with the higher share of the vote will resolve to YES and all others to NO For coalitions/alliances, only those formally registered with electoral authorities before the nomination deadline count, not post-election governing arrangements Overhang seats, leveling seats, and appointed seats count only if specified
For referenda/plebiscites, the specified option achieves the required threshold per applicable law (simple majority, supermajority, dual majority, turnout requirements).
If multiple thresholds exist (e.g., majority of votes AND majority of states), all must be met
For presidential or direct elections, the candidate who wins according to the electoral system (electoral college, popular vote, or runoff as applicable) and either (i) is inaugurated/sworn in/takes office, or (ii) the scheduled inauguration date passes without a different candidate taking office is the winner.

Colombian presidential election first round winner?

74.4% (24h)Politik

KalshiGeschlossenVerfügbarkeit prüfenKYC erforderlich2% Gebühr

Dieser Markt wurde entschieden: Abelardo de la Espriella (96%)

Entschieden: 01.06.2026, 13:18

Gewinnausgang

Abelardo de la Espriella

7 Tage vorher

—

24 Stunden vorher

24%

Überraschung

Aktuelle implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit

Abelardo de la Espriella 96%+74.4%

Führend unter 5 Optionen

Marktqualitat

79 / 100

Hohe Qualität

24h-Volumen

3133,7 €

Liquidität

3996,1 €

Mittlere Liquidität

Geld / Brief

96.3% / 98.7%

Spread

2.5%

Enger Spread

Marktdaten

Aktualisiert vor 12 Tagen

Veraltet

5. März 26, 15:0031. Mai 27, 14:00

Wahrscheinlichkeitsverlauf

Abelardo de la Espriella96%

Iván Cepeda Castro61%

Ergebnis24hWahrscheinlichkeit

Abelardo de la Espriella

+74.4%

96%

Iván Cepeda Castro

-76.3%

Paloma Valencia

Sergio Fajardo

Daniel Quintero

Dieser Markt ist geschlossen. Demo-Trading ist nur bei offenen Märkten verfügbar.

Regeln

If Iván Cepeda Castro wins the first round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election, then the market resolves to Yes.

For parliamentary elections, the party or coalition with the most seats wins.
If two parties tie in seats: the one entering government will resolve to YES and all others to NO If both or neither enter government, the one with the higher share of the vote will resolve to YES and all others to NO For coalitions/alliances, only those formally registered with electoral authorities before the nomination deadline count, not post-election governing arrangements Overhang seats, leveling seats, and appointed seats count only if specified
For referenda/plebiscites, the specified option achieves the required threshold per applicable law (simple majority, supermajority, dual majority, turnout requirements).
If multiple thresholds exist (e.g., majority of votes AND majority of states), all must be met
For presidential or direct elections, the candidate who wins according to the electoral system (electoral college, popular vote, or runoff as applicable) and either (i) is inaugurated/sworn in/takes office, or (ii) the scheduled inauguration date passes without a different candidate taking office is the winner.

Verwandte Märkte

US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by...?

4,1 Mio. €

July 31: 86%

POLYMARKET

Next French Presidential Election

924.848 €

Jordan Bardella: 27%

POLYMARKET

Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028

847.819,4 €

Gavin Newsom: 23%

POLYMARKET

Massachusetts Governor's Race: Which party will win in 2026?

15.065,8 €

Democratic Party: 96.6%

MANIFOLD MARKETS

New York Governor's Race: Which party will win in 2026?

9235,8 €

Democratic Party: 92.1%

MANIFOLD MARKETS

Starmer out before July?

9088,1 €

Ja: 17.2%

MANIFOLD MARKETS

In diesen Themen aktiv

BitcoinBTC$64,159.92+1.22%

SolanaSOL$67.95+1.78%

EthereumETH$1,679.60+0.88%

AvalancheAVAX$6.68+1.22%

DogecoinDOGE$0.0883+1.50%

Verwandte Nachrichten

Former Epstein assistant Lesley Groff appears before House panel Crypto News

Congress nears final vote on $70 billion immigration funding packageCrypto News

Trump unlikely to exit by June 30, Polymarket odds swing sideBlockchain.News

House GOP eyes summer vote on prediction market restrictions for lawmakersCointelegraph

Crypto Tycoons Fund Reform UK with $12.5M in Q1 DonationsBlockchain.News

Crypto billionaires bankroll Nigel Farage's pro-crypto partyCointelegraph

Regeln

If Iván Cepeda Castro wins the first round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election, then the market resolves to Yes.

For parliamentary elections, the party or coalition with the most seats wins.
If two parties tie in seats: the one entering government will resolve to YES and all others to NO If both or neither enter government, the one with the higher share of the vote will resolve to YES and all others to NO For coalitions/alliances, only those formally registered with electoral authorities before the nomination deadline count, not post-election governing arrangements Overhang seats, leveling seats, and appointed seats count only if specified
For referenda/plebiscites, the specified option achieves the required threshold per applicable law (simple majority, supermajority, dual majority, turnout requirements).
If multiple thresholds exist (e.g., majority of votes AND majority of states), all must be met
For presidential or direct elections, the candidate who wins according to the electoral system (electoral college, popular vote, or runoff as applicable) and either (i) is inaugurated/sworn in/takes office, or (ii) the scheduled inauguration date passes without a different candidate taking office is the winner.