KalshiVerfügbarkeit prüfenKYC erforderlich2% GebührVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenGrob kalibriertAktuelle implizite WahrscheinlichkeitBefore Sep 1, 2026 38%+2.0%Führend unter 4 Optionen
Marktqualitat
52 / 100
Mittlere Qualität24h-Volumen
605,7 €
Liquidität
21.783,5 €
Mittlere LiquiditätGeld / Brief
34.0% / 41.0%
Spread
20.6%
Breiter SpreadMarktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 17 Minuten
6. Juli 26, 23:041. Sept. 26, 3:59
Trends
Nur virtuelles Guthaben – kein echtes GeldKeine Finanzberatung
Gewähltes Ergebnis
Before Sep 1, 202638%
Volumentrend
$6897. Juli20T Daten26. Juli
Verwandte Märkte
When will Anthropic release Mythos?
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KALSHI
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POLYMARKET
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28.303 €Alibaba: 75%POLYMARKET
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Top AI model this week
25.626 €claude-opus-4-6-thinking: 96%KALSHI
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Next Claude Opus: Text Arena Debut?
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Best AI this week
22.928,9 €ChatGPT: 1%KALSHI
KALSHIIn diesen Themen aktiv
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If Anthropic releases a model under Anthropic's Mythos tier — including models branded "Mythos" or "Fable" - excluding Claude Fable 5 (released June 9, 2026) before Aug 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Release must be to the public, outside of a closed beta, though limiting it to a high-cost subscription tier is acceptable.
- If Anthropic releases a model under Anthropic's Mythos tier — including models branded "Mythos" or "Fable" - excluding Claude Fable 5 (released June 9, 2026) before Sep 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If Anthropic releases a model under Anthropic's Mythos tier — including models branded "Mythos" or "Fable" - excluding Claude Fable 5 (released June 9, 2026) before Oct 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If Anthropic releases a model under Anthropic's Mythos tier — including models branded "Mythos" or "Fable" - excluding Claude Fable 5 (released June 9, 2026) before Nov 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.