PolymarketVerfügbarkeit prüfenKein KYC2% GebührVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit1470+ 85%-5.5%Führend unter 6 Optionen
Marktqualitat
100 / 100
Hohe Qualität24h-Volumen
23.742,6 €
Liquidität
28.543 €
Hohe LiquiditätGeld / Brief
84.0% / 85.0%
Spread
1.2%
Enger Spread7d-Änderung
-1.5%
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 4 Minuten
15. Juli 26, 1:1931. Dez. 26, 23:59
Trends
Nur virtuelles Guthaben – kein echtes GeldKeine Finanzberatung
Gewähltes Ergebnis
1470+85%
Volumentrend
$27.0k15. Juli12T Daten26. Juli
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This market will resolve to "Yes" if the next Claude Opus model added to the Arena.AI Leaderboard (https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control) has at least the specified score at 12:00 PM ET on the calendar date following the date on which it first appears on the leaderboard.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- Any Claude model newly added to the leaderboard and labeled as "Opus" may qualify (e.g., claude-Opus-4.9, claude-Opus-5.0-thinking, claude-Opus-5.1-preview, or similar).
- Claude models labeled only as Sonnet, Haiku, or another non-Opus variant will not qualify.
- Results from the "Score" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control with style control off will be used to resolve this market.
- This market will resolve solely based on the specified score in the Score column of the leaderboard, regardless of any underlying granular or unrounded data presented elsewhere.