KalshiGeschlossenVerfügbarkeit prüfenKYC erforderlichVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenGut kalibriertDieser Markt wurde entschieden: Trump (99%)
Entschieden: 23.09.2026, 14:17
Vom Anbieter verifizierte Auflösung
CoinRithm hat anbietergestützte Nachweise für Gewinner und Auflösungszeit dieses Marktes.
Gewinnausgang
Trump
7 Tage vorher
—
24 Stunden vorher
16%
ÜberraschungWarnung zur DatenqualitätVeraltete Daten
Daten vom 23.09.2026, 14:08 UTC · Richtlinie pm-quality-3
Wahrscheinlichkeitsverlauf
Trump20%
China / Chinese38%
Argentina39%
Immigrant / Immigration29%
Palestine / Palestinian / Gaza64%
Ukraine / Ukrainian0%
NATO63%
Reform29%
Climate77%
Russia / Russian71%
Iran / Iranian61%
Nuclear0%
AI / Artificial Intelligence91%
Afford / Affordable / Affordability88%
Energy38%
Event does not qualify1%
TrumpGewonnen
China / ChineseVerloren
Palestine / Palestinian / GazaVerloren
Ukraine / UkrainianVerloren
NATOVerloren
Russia / RussianVerloren
AI / Artificial IntelligenceVerloren
EnergyVerloren
Afford / Affordable / AffordabilityVerloren
ClimateVerloren
Iran / IranianVerloren
ArgentinaVerloren
Immigrant / ImmigrationVerloren
ReformVerloren
NuclearVerloren
Event does not qualifyVerloren
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Andy Burnham to announce wealth tax before December 2026
Manifold MarketsWill Andy Burnham say "goon" before the next UK general election?
Manifold MarketsUK Prime Minister after Andy Burnham
Manifold MarketsIF Andy Burnham leads Labour into the next General Election, will Labour win?
Manifold MarketsAndy Burnham out as UK PM by which date?
PolymarketAndy Burnham out as UK's Prime Minister by which date?
FutuurRegeln
Archivierte Regeln auf Ereignisebene. Die genauen Bedingungen für jedes Ergebnis sind nicht mehr verfügbar.
If Andy Burnham says the named outcome as part of official address during the General Debate of the 81st United Nations General Assembly originally scheduled for September 22, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Abwicklung über:United Nations
- How this is resolved Video of the official address during the General Debate of the 81st United Nations General Assembly originally scheduled for September 22, 2026 using the live broadcast or stream.
- If a consensus by Kalshi employees cannot be reached using video, internal & external (official) transcripts of the official address during the General Debate of the 81st United Nations General Assembly originally scheduled for September 22, 2026 will be used.
- Payout Criteria The exact phrase/word, or a plural or possessive form of the phrase/word.
- Plural nouns occurring within proper nouns and noun phrases (e.g. names, titles, etc).
- Andy Burnham speaking in an official capacity.