KalshiVerfügbarkeit prüfenKYC erforderlichVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenGut kalibriertWarnung zur DatenqualitätNicht aussagekräftig bepreist
Daten vom 10.10.2026, 11:00 UTC · Richtlinie pm-quality-4
Mittelwert des gewählten Orderbuchs
Iliana Yotova, ≥5% · —
Gewähltes Orderbuch wird geladen…
Orderbuch empfangen (nicht Kurszeit der Börse): —
Gespeicherter Preis
Iliana Yotova, ≥5% Gespeicherter Geld–Brief-Kurs97%–98%Erfasst: Preise in Prozent der Auszahlung, vor Gebühren; diese gespeicherten Beobachtungen sind keine ausführbaren Kurse.Führend unter 7 Optionen
Iliana Yotova, ≥5% Gespeicherter Geld–Brief-Kurs97%–98%Erfasst: Preise in Prozent der Auszahlung, vor Gebühren; diese gespeicherten Beobachtungen sind keine ausführbaren Kurse.Marktqualitat
46 / 100
Niedrige Qualität24h-Volumen
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Open Interest
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Open Interest unbekanntGeld / Brief
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Iliana Yotova, ≥5%Spread
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Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 11 Minuten
9. Okt. 26, 21:00 UTC25. Okt. 27, 14:00 UTC
Chart und Änderungen zeigen gespeicherte historische Wahrscheinlichkeiten, nicht das gewählte aktuelle Orderbuch.
Trends
Gewählte Zeile: Orderbuch-Mittelwert. Andere Zeilen: gespeicherte, ggf. normalisierte Referenzwerte; 24h-Änderungen basieren auf gespeicherter Historie.
Handelsplatzbedingungen
Quelle: Kalshi
Diese Angaben dienen der Information; für den simulierten Handel bei CoinRithm gelten eigene Regeln.
- Vorzeitige Schließung:
- Ja
- Abrechnungsfrist:
- 30m (unverbindliche Angabe)
Markttiefe · Iliana Yotova, ≥5%
Gewähltes Orderbuch wird geladen…
Orderbuch empfangen (nicht Kurszeit der Börse): —
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Regeln
If the margin of victory for Iliana Yotova in the first round of the 2026 Bulgarian presidential election is at or above 25%, then the market resolves to Yes.
Abwicklung über:Central Election Commission of Bulgaria
- The margin of victory is the share of valid votes (counting ballots marked “I do not support anyone” and excluding invalid ballots) received by Iliana Yotova minus the share received by the candidate that finishes immediately behind Iliana Yotova if Iliana Yotova wins, or the candidate that finishes first if Iliana Yotova loses. If Iliana Yotova wins, the margin will be positive; if Iliana Yotova loses, the margin will be negative; if Iliana Yotova ties for first place, the margin shall be 0. Each margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, and no rounding shall be applied. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If Iliana Yotova runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying candidate will be summed.
Regeln für jedes Ergebnis
- Iliana Yotova, ≥5%
- If the margin of victory for Iliana Yotova in the first round of the 2026 Bulgarian presidential election is at or above 5%, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Iliana Yotova, ≥10%
- If the margin of victory for Iliana Yotova in the first round of the 2026 Bulgarian presidential election is at or above 10%, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Iliana Yotova, ≥15%
- If the margin of victory for Iliana Yotova in the first round of the 2026 Bulgarian presidential election is at or above 15%, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Iliana Yotova, ≥25%
- If the margin of victory for Iliana Yotova in the first round of the 2026 Bulgarian presidential election is at or above 25%, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Iliana Yotova, ≥30%
- If the margin of victory for Iliana Yotova in the first round of the 2026 Bulgarian presidential election is at or above 30%, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Iliana Yotova, ≥35%
- If the margin of victory for Iliana Yotova in the first round of the 2026 Bulgarian presidential election is at or above 35%, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Iliana Yotova, ≥20%
- If the margin of victory for Iliana Yotova in the first round of the 2026 Bulgarian presidential election is at or above 20%, then the market resolves to Yes.
