KalshiVerfügbarkeit prüfenKYC erforderlich2% GebührVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit
Nein 97%
Marktqualitat
79 / 100
Hohe Qualität24h-Volumen
1086,2 €
Liquidität
336.089 €
Hohe LiquiditätGeld / Brief
1.0% / 3.0%
Spread
2.0 pt
Enger SpreadMarktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 5 Minuten
18. Okt. 25, 14:00 UTC1. Jan. 27, 05:00 UTC
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Regeln
If the Bitcoin spot price according to the CF Bitcoin Real-Time Index is above $250000 starting 2025-10-18T14:00:00.000Z and before Jan 1, 2027 at 12:00AM ET, then the market resolves to Yes.
Abwicklung über:CF Benchmarks
- The market resolves based on the CF Bitcoin Real-Time Index (BRTI) using a trimmed mean calculation.
- The resolution value is calculated by taking all BRTI values for each minute from market issuance until the specified time on the target date, removing the top 20% and bottom 20% of values, then averaging the remaining 60% of values.
- If the BRTI crosses the threshold at any point during the measurement period (triggering early expiration), the market immediately resolves.
- If no data is available at the expiration time, the market resolves to No. The market can resolve early if Bitcoin definitively crosses the threshold before the target date and time.