AI capability growth before July?
7.0% (24h)One-Off20T
KalshiVerfügbarkeit prüfenKYC erforderlich2% GebührAktuelle implizite WahrscheinlichkeitAt least 1550 score 2%-7.0%Führend unter 8 Optionen
Marktqualitat
28 / 100
Niedrige Qualität24h-Volumen
126,5 €
Liquidität
910,5 €
Niedrige LiquiditätGeld / Brief
1.0% / 2.0%
Spread
100.0%
Breiter SpreadMarktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 6 Minuten
6. Jan. 26, 15:001. Juli 26, 14:00
Trends
Gewähltes Ergebnis
At least 1550 score2%
Verwandte Märkte
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MANIFOLD MARKETS
Regeln
If an AI model has a score of at least 1525 before Jul 1, 2026 on the LMSYS leaderboard, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If an AI model has a score of at least 1550 before Jul 1, 2026 on the LMSYS leaderboard, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If an AI model has a score of at least 1575 before Jul 1, 2026 on the LMSYS leaderboard, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If an AI model has a score of at least 1600 before Jul 1, 2026 on the LMSYS leaderboard, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If an AI model has a score of at least 1625 before Jul 1, 2026 on the LMSYS leaderboard, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If an AI model has a score of at least 1650 before Jul 1, 2026 on the LMSYS leaderboard, then the market resolves to Yes.