KalshiVerfügbarkeit prüfenKYC erforderlich2% GebührVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenGrob kalibriertAktuelle implizite WahrscheinlichkeitAbove 2.50 94%Führend unter 11 Optionen
Marktqualitat
57 / 100
Mittlere Qualität24h-Volumen
2383,6 €
Liquidität
43.153,1 €
Hohe LiquiditätGeld / Brief
74.0% / 80.0%
Spread
6.0 pt
Breiter SpreadMarktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 9 Minuten
24. März 26, 14:003. Nov. 26, 4:59
Trends
Nur virtuelles Guthaben – kein echtes GeldKeine Finanzberatung
Gewähltes Ergebnis
Above 3.2579%
Plattformen vergleichen· Above 2.50
Sortiert nach Marktqualität, dann Liquidität und 24-h-Volumen| Plattform | Qualität | Wahrscheinlichkeit | vs. Referenz | 24h Vol | Liq | Aktualität | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| KalshiDiese SeiteBeste insgesamt | Mittel | 94% | — | 2383,6 € | 43.153,1 € | vor 9 Minuten | |
 Manifold Markets85% Übereinstimmung · geprüft | — | 27% | — | — | — | vor 29 Minuten | Öffnen → |
Auch verfügbar auf Manifold Markets
Price of gas on Election Day?
3Mon
+0.2pt27%
+0.9pt21.6%
-0.7pt17.7%
+8 weitere Ergebnisse
Community-Prognose12 PrognostikerTyp: multiple choice
MANIFOLD MARKETSRegeln
If average regular gas prices for the United States are strictly greater than $2.50 on Nov 3, 2026 according to AAA, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If average regular gas prices for the United States are strictly greater than $2.75 on Nov 3, 2026 according to AAA, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If average regular gas prices for the United States are strictly greater than $3.00 on Nov 3, 2026 according to AAA, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If average regular gas prices for the United States are strictly greater than $3.25 on Nov 3, 2026 according to AAA, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If average regular gas prices for the United States are strictly greater than $3.50 on Nov 3, 2026 according to AAA, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If average regular gas prices for the United States are strictly greater than $3.75 on Nov 3, 2026 according to AAA, then the market resolves to Yes.
Wahrscheinlichkeiten können aufgrund unterschiedlicher Marktstrukturen, Gebühren und Teilnehmerpools abweichen.
Volumentrend
$2.7k2. Juli27T Daten28. Juli
Verwandte Märkte
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604.283 €James Fishback: 3%KALSHI
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KALSHIIn diesen Themen aktiv
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If average regular gas prices for the United States are strictly greater than $2.50 on Nov 3, 2026 according to AAA, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If average regular gas prices for the United States are strictly greater than $2.75 on Nov 3, 2026 according to AAA, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If average regular gas prices for the United States are strictly greater than $3.00 on Nov 3, 2026 according to AAA, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If average regular gas prices for the United States are strictly greater than $3.25 on Nov 3, 2026 according to AAA, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If average regular gas prices for the United States are strictly greater than $3.50 on Nov 3, 2026 according to AAA, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If average regular gas prices for the United States are strictly greater than $3.75 on Nov 3, 2026 according to AAA, then the market resolves to Yes.