Aktuelle implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit
Todd Blanche 85.5%Führend unter 31 Optionen
Marktqualitat
46 / 100
Niedrige Qualität24h-Volumen
4,4 €
Liquidität
0 €
Niedrige LiquiditätGeld / Brief
85.0% / 86.0%
Spread
1.0 pt
Enger SpreadMarktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 21 Minuten
26. März 26, 20:471. Jan. 27, 0:01
Nur virtuelles Guthaben – kein echtes GeldKeine Finanzberatung
Gewähltes Ergebnis
Todd Blanche86%
Plattformen vergleichen· Kash Patel
Sortiert nach Marktqualität, dann Liquidität und 24-h-Volumen| Plattform | Qualität | Wahrscheinlichkeit | vs. Referenz | 24h Vol | Liq | Aktualität | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 GeminiDiese SeiteBeste insgesamt | Niedrig | 36% | -8pt | 4,4 € | 0 € | vor 21 Minuten | |
 Futuur83% Übereinstimmung · auto | Niedrig | 44% | 0pt | 0 € | 6424,8 € | vor 21 Minuten | Öffnen → |
Auch verfügbar auf Futuur
Who will leave the Trump administration in 2026?
5Mon
86%
45%
44%
+7 weitere Ergebnisse
31 • Niedrige QualitätSpread unbekanntMittlere Liquidität
Gesamtvolumen1173,8 €
24h-Volumen0 €
FUTUURRegeln
Prediction markets for whether listed officials leave their stated role in the Trump Administration before Jan 1, 2027 (i.e., during calendar year 2026). 'Leave' means the individual permanently ceases to hold the role (e.g., resignation, retirement, removal, expiration of term without renewal, etc.).
- Temporary leaves of absence/suspensions/recusals do not count unless the individual formally and permanently ceases to hold the position.
- If the role ceases to exist with no plausible successor, contracts may resolve No.
- If the individual dies while holding the role, contracts may resolve to a last fair price per exchange rules.
- If Todd Blanche leaves as Deputy Attorney General before 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Sources from ABC News Australia, Bloomberg News, CNBC, CNN, Deutsche Welle, Financial Times, Fox News, MSNBC, official government records and registries, person, Politico, Reuters, the Associated Press, the body, agency, company, organization, or entity at which role is held, the New York Times, The Wall Street Journal, The Washington Post, and BBC.
Wahrscheinlichkeiten können aufgrund unterschiedlicher Marktstrukturen, Gebühren und Teilnehmerpools abweichen.
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Prediction markets for whether listed officials leave their stated role in the Trump Administration before Jan 1, 2027 (i.e., during calendar year 2026). 'Leave' means the individual permanently ceases to hold the role (e.g., resignation, retirement, removal, expiration of term without renewal, etc.).
- Temporary leaves of absence/suspensions/recusals do not count unless the individual formally and permanently ceases to hold the position.
- If the role ceases to exist with no plausible successor, contracts may resolve No.
- If the individual dies while holding the role, contracts may resolve to a last fair price per exchange rules.
- If Todd Blanche leaves as Deputy Attorney General before 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Sources from ABC News Australia, Bloomberg News, CNBC, CNN, Deutsche Welle, Financial Times, Fox News, MSNBC, official government records and registries, person, Politico, Reuters, the Associated Press, the body, agency, company, organization, or entity at which role is held, the New York Times, The Wall Street Journal, The Washington Post, and BBC.