Warnung zur DatenqualitätKeine aktiven Kurse
Daten vom 27.07.2026, 04:50 UTC · Richtlinie pm-quality-3
Aktuelle implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit
6,300 or below 99%Führend unter 5 Optionen
Marktqualitat
22 / 100
Niedrige Qualität24h-Volumen
0 €
Liquidität
0 €
Niedrige LiquiditätGeld / Brief
-
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 16 Minuten
3. März 26, 11:3731. Dez. 26, 21:00
Nur virtuelles Guthaben – kein echtes GeldKeine Finanzberatung
Gewähltes Ergebnis
6,300 or below99%
Plattformen vergleichen· 6,300 or below
Sortiert nach Marktqualität, dann Liquidität und 24-h-Volumen| Plattform | Qualität | Wahrscheinlichkeit | vs. Referenz | 24h Vol | Liq | Aktualität | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 KalshiBeste insgesamt88% Übereinstimmung · auto | Hoch | 31% | 0pt | 444,4 € | 306.153,9 € | vor 16 Minuten | Öffnen → |
 GeminiDiese Seite | Niedrig | 99% | +68pt | 0 € | 0 € | vor 16 Minuten |
Auch verfügbar auf Kalshi
How low will the S&P get this year?
0.5 pts5Mon
+0.2pt28.7%
-0.5pt26.9%
+0.1pt19.4%
+2 weitere Ergebnisse
76 • Hohe QualitätEnger SpreadHohe LiquiditätHohe Mehrdeutigkeit
Gesamtvolumen655.946,2 €
24h-Volumen444,4 €
KALSHIRegeln
How low will the S&P get this year?
- If the value of the S&P 500 index value starting Jan 1, 2026 and ending before Jan 1, 2027 is below 6,300, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Outcome verified from For example, Google Finance.
- Read the full contract [terms & conditions](https://cdn.builder.io/o/assets%2F1b77ce3a269a43e985e77f3d65f715ba%2F13749dfcb87e4ecc8d88c9cdf3d5cea9?alt=media&token=4907b68a-a6c5-4e1a-973f-6af20fe9d50c&apiKey=1b77ce3a269a43e985e77f3d65f715ba).
- If the value of the S&P 500 index value starting Jan 1, 2026 and ending before Jan 1, 2027 is below 6,400, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the value of the S&P 500 index value starting Jan 1, 2026 and ending before Jan 1, 2027 is below 6,200, then the market resolves to Yes.
Wahrscheinlichkeiten können aufgrund unterschiedlicher Marktstrukturen, Gebühren und Teilnehmerpools abweichen.
Große Trades
$6.6k86.0%KALSHI5,900 or below — Novor 13 Tagen
KALSHI5,900 or below — Novor 13 TagenVerwandte Märkte
Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by July 31?
5196,7 €↓$1.05T: 16%
POLYMARKET
POLYMARKETWill Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
2950 €↑$1.1T: 100%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
Will ByteDance's valuation hit __ by December 31?
1418,4 €↓$550B: 100%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
Will the NASDAQ-100 finish positive in 2026?
80,7 €Ja: 68%KALSHI
KALSHI
Which companies will be added to the Nasdaq-100 in Q3?
9 €Cerebras Systems: 11%KALSHI
KALSHI
Which bubble bursts first?
5 €AI: 17.4%
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How low will the S&P get this year?
- If the value of the S&P 500 index value starting Jan 1, 2026 and ending before Jan 1, 2027 is below 6,300, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Outcome verified from For example, Google Finance.
- Read the full contract [terms & conditions](https://cdn.builder.io/o/assets%2F1b77ce3a269a43e985e77f3d65f715ba%2F13749dfcb87e4ecc8d88c9cdf3d5cea9?alt=media&token=4907b68a-a6c5-4e1a-973f-6af20fe9d50c&apiKey=1b77ce3a269a43e985e77f3d65f715ba).
- If the value of the S&P 500 index value starting Jan 1, 2026 and ending before Jan 1, 2027 is below 6,400, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the value of the S&P 500 index value starting Jan 1, 2026 and ending before Jan 1, 2027 is below 6,200, then the market resolves to Yes.