Warnung zur DatenqualitätKeine aktiven Kurse
Daten vom 27.07.2026, 04:50 UTC · Richtlinie pm-quality-3
Aktuelle implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit
7,200 or above 99%Führend unter 8 Optionen
Marktqualitat
22 / 100
Niedrige Qualität24h-Volumen
0 €
Liquidität
0 €
Niedrige LiquiditätGeld / Brief
-
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 16 Minuten
3. März 26, 11:3731. Dez. 26, 21:00
Nur virtuelles Guthaben – kein echtes GeldKeine Finanzberatung
Gewähltes Ergebnis
7,200 or above99%
Plattformen vergleichen· 7,600 or above
Sortiert nach Marktqualität, dann Liquidität und 24-h-Volumen| Plattform | Qualität | Wahrscheinlichkeit | vs. Referenz | 24h Vol | Liq | Aktualität | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 KalshiBeste insgesamt88% Übereinstimmung · auto | Mittel | 100% | 0pt | 2025,5 € | 355.180,8 € | vor 16 Minuten | Öffnen → |
 GeminiDiese Seite | Niedrig | 81% | -19pt | 0 € | 0 € | vor 16 Minuten |
Auch verfügbar auf Kalshi
How high will the S&P get this year?
1.9 pts5Mon
100%
-2.2pt56%
+1.9pt42%
+5 weitere Ergebnisse
71 • Mittlere QualitätMittlerer SpreadHohe LiquiditätNahe an der Auflösung
Gesamtvolumen812.777,9 €
24h-Volumen2025,5 €
KALSHIRegeln
How high will the S&P get this year?
- If the value of the S&P 500 index value starting Jan 1, 2026 and ending before Jan 1, 2027 is above 7,200, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Outcome verified from For example, Google Finance.
- Read the full contract [terms & conditions](https://cdn.builder.io/o/assets%2F1b77ce3a269a43e985e77f3d65f715ba%2F13749dfcb87e4ecc8d88c9cdf3d5cea9?alt=media&token=4907b68a-a6c5-4e1a-973f-6af20fe9d50c&apiKey=1b77ce3a269a43e985e77f3d65f715ba).
- If the value of the S&P 500 index value starting Jan 1, 2026 and ending before Jan 1, 2027 is above 8,400, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the value of the S&P 500 index value starting Jan 1, 2026 and ending before Jan 1, 2027 is above 8,800, then the market resolves to Yes.
Wahrscheinlichkeiten können aufgrund unterschiedlicher Marktstrukturen, Gebühren und Teilnehmerpools abweichen.
Große Trades
$1.1k75.0%KALSHI7,800 or above — Novor 8 Tagen
KALSHI7,800 or above — Novor 8 TagenVerwandte Märkte
Will Glean's valuation hit __ by December 31?
323,9 €↓$6B: 61%
POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
SpaceX Closing Market Cap End of July
133,2 €$1.0T-$1.5T: 58%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
OpenAI vs Meta — higher valuation on December 31?
86,9 €OpenAI: 18%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
Which bubble bursts first?
5 €AI: 17.4%
MYRIAD
MYRIAD
Which companies will be removed from the Dow Jones Industrial Average in 2026?
0 €Amazon: 4%KALSHI
KALSHI
Will the NASDAQ-100 finish positive in 2026?
80,7 €Ja: 68%KALSHI
KALSHIIn diesen Themen aktiv
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How high will the S&P get this year?
- If the value of the S&P 500 index value starting Jan 1, 2026 and ending before Jan 1, 2027 is above 7,200, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Outcome verified from For example, Google Finance.
- Read the full contract [terms & conditions](https://cdn.builder.io/o/assets%2F1b77ce3a269a43e985e77f3d65f715ba%2F13749dfcb87e4ecc8d88c9cdf3d5cea9?alt=media&token=4907b68a-a6c5-4e1a-973f-6af20fe9d50c&apiKey=1b77ce3a269a43e985e77f3d65f715ba).
- If the value of the S&P 500 index value starting Jan 1, 2026 and ending before Jan 1, 2027 is above 8,400, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the value of the S&P 500 index value starting Jan 1, 2026 and ending before Jan 1, 2027 is above 8,800, then the market resolves to Yes.