Aktuelle implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit
6.75 CNY 93%
6.75 CNY 93%Marktqualitat
23 / 100
Niedrige Qualität24h-Volumen
—
Liquidität
422,3 €
Niedrige LiquiditätTrader
15
Kommentare
0
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 2 Minuten
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Will the EUR/USD exchange rate exceed 1.12 on October 26, 2026? (FX) (Forex) (Currency pair) (Euro dollar) (EURUSD) (Foreign exchange)?
ForecastExArgentina Official USD Exchange Rate end of 2026? (Higher Brackets)
PolymarketArgentina Official USD Exchange Rate end of 2026?
PolymarketUSD/BRL exchange rate at the end of 2026
FutuurEUR/USD exchange rate at the end of 2026
FutuurWill the Bitcoin to USD exchange rate fluctuate by a factor of 2 or more in 2028?
Manifold MarketsRegeln
This event predicts if the daily close price of 1 (one) U.S. Dollar expressed in Chinese Yuan (USD/CNY exchange rate) will reach any of the values listed in the markets between January 1st, 2026, and December 31, 2026.
- The Primary Designated Source (PDS) is the U.S. Dollar–Chinese Yuan monitor published by the China Foreign Exchange Trade System & National Interbank Funding Center throughout the period.
- If the PDS data for that date is delayed, unavailable, or unclear, the Secondary Confirmation Mechanism (SCM) will be confirmation of the same closing USD/CNY rates from MarketWatch’s historical data download or a clear consensus of reporting by major financial news organizations or widely used market data providers citing end-of-day market prices.
- Futuur will resolve these markets according to the substantive exchange-rate outcome and market intent, not minor technical or formatting differences.
- If foreign-exchange markets experience significant disruptions during the event's period, Futuur may use its discretion to determine the most appropriate comparable data for resolution; if no fair determination is possible, the markets may be cancelled with a public explanation.
