FutuurVerfügbarkeit prüfenVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenAktuelle implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit
Nein 85%
Nein 85%Marktqualitat
33 / 100
Niedrige Qualität24h-Volumen
—
Liquidität
1216,3 €
Niedrige LiquiditätTrader
10
Kommentare
1
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 1 Minute
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
AI snitch arrest by EOY2026?
Manifold MarketsWill Donald Trump serve time under House Arrest before 2027?
Manifold MarketsArrest of any of Jair Bolsonaro's sons in 2026?
Futuur🇧🇷 President in Jan 2027 is Lula, or whoever he endorses / Lula ou seu indicado é presidente em janeiro de 2027
Manifold MarketsWill Lula win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Manifold MarketsWill Lula announce nomination of a Supreme Court minister by which date?
PolymarketRegeln
This event predicts whether any minister serving in President Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva’s administration will be arrested at any time during calendar year 2026.
- For this market, arrest means being formally detained by law enforcement authorities, regardless of whether the individual is still in office at the time of arrest.
- The Primary Designated Source (PDS) will be official statements by Brazilian judicial or law enforcement authorities.
- If any minister from Lula’s administration is formally arrested during 2026, this market will resolve to "Yes".
- Otherwise, it will resolve to "No".
- Investigations, indictments, or questioning without detention will not count.
