Will the US capture another world leader in 2026?
1.0 puan (24s)US PoliticsYearlyPolitikaJeopolitikLatin America5ay
PolymarketKullanılabilirliği kontrol etKYC yok%2 ücretDoğrulanmış sonuçlanma verisiOrta düzey kalibreGüncel ima edilen olasılıkHayır 92.1%+0.0pt
Piyasa kalitesi
63 / 100
Orta kalite24s Hacim
₺3,9 B
Likidite
₺276,5 B
Orta likiditeAlis / Satis
7.0% / 8.0%
Spread
1.0 pt
Dar spread7g Değişim
+2.0 pts
Piyasa verileri
22 dakika önce guncellendi
5 Oca 26 19:1231 Ara 26 0:00
Trendler
Yalnızca sanal bakiye, gerçek para yokYatırım tavsiyesi değildir
Seçilen sonuç
Yes8%
Hacim trendi
$822 Tem20g veri28 Tem
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This market will resolve to "Yes" if U.S. government personnel (including U.S. military, CIA, or any U.S. federal law enforcement agency) directly participate on the ground in an operation that results in the capture of a qualifying head of state by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- Only individuals who are the active head of state of a UN member state at the time of capture will qualify.
- Acting/interim heads of state will qualify if they are widely recognized as holding the head-of-state office at that time.
- For the purposes of this market, “capture” means the head of state is taken into physical custody and detained (including arrest, detention, or seizure) such that they are no longer free to leave at will, even if only temporarily.
- Voluntary surrender may qualify if it results in immediate detention/custody.