PolymarketKullanılabilirliği kontrol etKYC yok%2 ücretDoğrulanmış sonuçlanma verisiİyi kalibreGüncel ima edilen olasılık
September 30 9%-1.5pt4 seçenek arasında lider
Piyasa kalitesi
48 / 100
Düşük kalite24s Hacim
₺3,4 B
Likidite
₺102,5 B
Düşük likiditeSpread
3.0 pt
Orta spreadYorumlar
3
Piyasa verileri
7 dakika önce güncellendi
13 Nis 26 22:49 UTC1 Eki 26 03:59 UTC
Trendler
0%
0%
0%
İlgili Piyasalar
Bağlam için ilgili sorular; eşdeğer sözleşmelerin karşılaştırması değildir.
Will Russia capture Svitle by which date?
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Manifold MarketsWill Russia capture Kramatorsk at least once before EOY 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill Ukraine capture more territory than it loses to Russia in September 2026?
Manifold MarketsKurallar
This market will resolve to “Yes” if, according to the ISW map, Russia captures the intersection at 47.612850° N, 36.062680° E in Huliaipilske, Zaporizhzhia Oblast, by the specified date 11:59 PM ET.
- The intersection will be considered captured if any part of the intersection is shaded red on the ISW map (https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375) by the resolution date.
- If the area is not shaded red by the specified date, the market will resolve to “No”.
- For any change on the ISW map to qualify for this market’s resolution, the relevant shading indicating Russian control must persist through the next full ISW daily update cycle.
- If ISW skips a day, shading must persist until the next finalized ISW update is published, regardless of the date.
- Any continuous shading which reflects either “Assessed Russian Control”, “Assessed Russian Advance In Ukraine”, or “Assessed Russian Gains in the Past 24 Hours” will qualify. “Assessed Russian Infiltration Areas in Ukraine” will not qualify.