Will Marine Le Pen win her appeal to lift ineligibility ban in 2026?
5.7 puan (24s)One-OffPolitikaEuropeCrime & JusticeSeçim
PolymarketKapalıKullanılabilirliği kontrol etKYC yok%2 ücretDoğrulanmış sonuçlanma verisiOrta düzey kalibreBu piyasa sonuçlandı: Yes
Sonuçlandı: 9 Tem 2026 03:35
Sağlayıcı tarafından doğrulanmış sonuç
CoinRithm bu piyasa için kazanan ve sonuçlanma zamanı konusunda sağlayıcı destekli kanıta sahip.
Kazanan Sonuç
Yes
7 gün kala
20%
24 saat kala
94%
KonsensüsGüncel ima edilen olasılık
Evet 100%+0.1pt
Piyasa kalitesi
45 / 100
Düşük kalite24s Hacim
₺163,4 B
Likidite
—
Likidite bilinmiyorAlış / Satış
97.6% / 100.0%
Spread
2.4 pt
Orta spread7g Değişim
+80.8 pts
Piyasa verileri
53 gün önce güncellendi
Guncelligini yitirmis19 Oca 26 20:2131 Mar 26 0:00
Olasılık Zaman Çizelgesi
Yes100%
No0%
100%
0%
Kurallar
On March 31, 2025, Marine Le Pen was sentenced to a five-year ban from public office for embezzlement of public funds, potentially blocking her from the 2027 presidential race.
- The appeal focuses on this penalty, with hearings currently scheduled to run from January 13 to February 12.
- You can read more about that here: https://www.lemonde.fr/en/les-decodeurs/article/2026/01/13/understanding-marine-le-pen-s-crucial-appeals-trial_6749363_8.html.
- This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Paris Court of Appeal issues an initial appeal decision, lifting, annulling, suspending, or otherwise removing Marine Le Pen’s ineligibility penalty such that she is legally permitted to run for public office again, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM CET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
- This market will resolve immediately based on the first merits judgment rendered by the Paris Court of Appeal in this appeal, regardless of any subsequent appeals or legal proceedings.
