PolymarketKullanılabilirliği kontrol etKYC yok%2 ücretDoğrulanmış sonuçlanma verisiOrta düzey kalibreGüncel ima edilen olasılık
September 30 32%-5.5pt3 seçenek arasında lider
Piyasa kalitesi
58 / 100
Orta kalite24s Hacim
₺1,2 Mn
Likidite
₺64,7 B
Düşük likiditeSpread
3.0 pt
Orta spreadYorumlar
0
7g Değişim
+1.5 pts
Piyasa verileri
13 dakika önce güncellendi
18 Ağu 26 23:3630 Eyl 26 23:59
Trendler
Kurallar
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Iran targets Bahrain through a qualifying military action between market creation and the listed date, Arabia Standard Time (AST).
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
- A qualifying military action refers to an air strike or a surface-to-surface missile strike, initiated by Iran, directed at Bahrain.
- An air strike includes bombs, air-to-surface missiles, and air-launched drones.
- A surface-to-surface missile strike includes one-way attack drones and surface-to-surface missiles such as cruise or ballistic missiles.
- The following actions do not constitute a qualifying military action: Surface-to-air missile strikes; Small-arms fire; Ground incursions; Cyber operations; Naval gunfire and artillery fire; Howitzers, artillery pieces, mortars, and rocket artillery (e.g. MLRS systems); Minor surface-to-surface strikes, including short range loitering munitions, FPV drones, and ATGM strikes; Any threat, authorization, or announcement of force that has not been executed.
Açık piyasalar
GeopoliticsPOLYMARKETUS announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- December 31-5.5pt69%
- October 31-13.0pt47%
- September 30-13.0pt24%
+17 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺1,1 Mr
- 24s Hacim
- ₺39 Mn
POLYMARKETWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
- No87.1%
- Yes12.9%
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺3 Mr
- 24s Hacim
- ₺33,9 Mn
POLYMARKETWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- United Russia (ER)+4.0pt77%
- New People (NL)-2.4pt17%
- Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)+0.1pt5%
POLYMARKETUS-Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
- August 22100%
- August 25100%
- August 31+1.5pt98%
+3 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
POLYMARKETBab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by which date?
- December 31-1.0pt17%
- October 3111%
- September 306%
+9 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
POLYMARKETNext round of US-Iran peace talks by which date?
- March 31, 2027-4.5pt63%
- December-2.5pt46%
- September 30,-4.0pt18%
+8 daha fazla sonuç
- NATO x Russia military clash by which date?
- Iran-Oman Hormuz Management Agreement by which date?
- US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by which date?
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
- US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by which date?
- Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
- Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by which date?
- Where will the next next round of US-Iran peace talks be?
- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by which date?
Sık sorulan sorular
- Will Iran target Bahrain by which date? için güncel oranlar nedir?
- Polymarket, 28 Ağustos 2026 itibarıyla September 30 için 32% fiyatlıyor.
- Will Iran target Bahrain by which date? ne zaman sonuçlanacak?
- Will Iran target Bahrain by which date? için öngörülen sonuçlanma tarihi 30 Eylül 2026.
- Will Iran target Bahrain by which date? nasıl sonuçlandırılıyor?
- Polymarket bu piyasayı şu şekilde sonuçlandırır: This market will resolve to “Yes” if Iran targets Bahrain through a qualifying military action between market creation and the listed date, Arabia Standard Time (AST).