PolymarketKullanılabilirliği kontrol etKYC yok%2 ücretDoğrulanmış sonuçlanma verisiİyi kalibreGüncel ima edilen olasılık
President 62%3 seçenek arasında lider
Piyasa kalitesi
≤49 / 100
Düşük kalite24s Hacim
—
Likidite
₺470 B
Orta likiditeSpread
1.0 pt
Dar spreadYorumlar
1
Piyasa verileri
6 dakika önce güncellendi
18 Ağu 26 19:22 UTC31 Ara 27 23:59 UTC
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Bağlam için ilgili sorular; eşdeğer sözleşmelerin karşılaştırması değildir.
Will AOC run for senate in 2028?
Manifold MarketsWhich office will AOC announce a run for by the end of 2027?
PredictItWill AOC run for President or for the Senate in 2028?
Manifold MarketsWill Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez run for Senate in 2028?
KalshiWill Joe Manchin run for the U.S. Senate seat in West Virginia in 2026?
Manifold MarketsRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
PolymarketKurallar
This market will resolve based on the office, between United States Senator and President of the United States, that Rep. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez first officially announces that she is running for in the 2028 election cycle by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.
- An announcement by the listed individual will be sufficient to resolve this market in favor of the corresponding outcome, regardless of whether they actually filed a nomination to run, or whether they actually file a nomination to run in the future.
- A qualifying announcement must be explicit and unambiguous.
- Conditional statements, or statements that are clearly sarcastic, made in jest, or immediately clarified as not being genuine will not count.
- The formation of an exploratory committee, or a statement that she is exploring or considering a run, will not qualify, nor will any filing that is not accompanied by an announcement.
- If the listed individual does not announce that she is running for either listed office by December 31, 2027 at 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Neither".