PolymarketKullanılabilirliği kontrol etKYC yok%2 ücretDoğrulanmış sonuçlanma verisiİyi kalibreGüncel ima edilen olasılık
Hayır 93%
Piyasa kalitesi
≤49 / 100
Düşük kalite24s Hacim
—
Likidite
₺70,9 B
Düşük likiditeAlış / Satış
6.1% / 7.0%
Spread
0.9 pt
Dar spreadYorumlar
1
7g Değişim
-7.5 pts
Piyasa verileri
10 dakika önce güncellendi
31 Ara 25 17:12 UTC1 Oca 27 04:59 UTC
Trendler
İlgili Piyasalar
Bağlam için ilgili sorular; eşdeğer sözleşmelerin karşılaştırması değildir.
Will any Category 4 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027?
PolymarketWill any Category 4 hurricane make landfall in the United States by November 30, 2026?
ForecastExWhere will a hurricane make landfall in the US during the 2026 hurricane season?
PolymarketWill at least one major hurricane make landfall in the US*?
Manifold MarketsWill 2 or more hurricanes make landfall in the US in 2026?
PolymarketWill a hurricane make landfall in Hawaii in 2026?
KalshiKurallar
For the purposes of this market, a Category 5 hurricane is a hurricane with maximum sustained winds of 157 mph or higher, as described at https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/aboutsshws.php, and a hurricane landfall is said to occur when the hurricane's surface center intersects with the coastline, as described at https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/aboutgloss.shtml#LANDFALL.
- This market will resolve to "Yes" if any storm makes landfall in the conterminous United States as a Category 5 hurricane, as reported in official National Hurricane Center advisories (https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/archive/2023/IDALIA.shtml?) between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
- This market may resolve based on the initial advisory released by the NHC for whether any storm has made landfall in the conterminous United States at Category 5 strength, regardless of any later retraction or analysis that may contradict the initial qualifying announcement.
- However, subsequent corrections or updates will be considered if they indicate a qualifying incident.
Açık piyasalar
WeatherKALSHIWhere will it rain on Sep 8, 2026?
- Minneapolis+9.0pt99%
- Miami-9.0pt73%
- New Orleans-8.0pt58%
+19 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺5,8 Mn
- 24s Hacim
- ₺5,5 Mn
KALSHIHighest temperature in Los Angeles on Sep 8, 2026?
- 90° or above60.2%
- 88° to 89°23.3%
- 86° to 87°13.6%
+3 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺5,6 Mn
- 24s Hacim
- ₺5,4 Mn
KALSHIHighest temperature in New York City on Sep 8, 2026?
- 80° to 81°53.3%
- 82° to 83°34.6%
- 79° or below8.4%
+3 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺1,7 Mn
- 24s Hacim
- ₺1,6 Mn
KALSHIHighest temperature in Miami on Sep 8, 2026?
- 90° to 91°54.7%
- 92° to 93°19.8%
- 88° to 89°16%
+3 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺1,5 Mn
- 24s Hacim
- ₺1,5 Mn
KALSHIWill a hurricane make landfall in Hawaii in 2026?
- No89%
- Yes-3.0pt11%
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺3,3 Mn
- 24s Hacim
- ₺1,2 Mn
POLYMARKETLargest IPO by market cap in 2026?
- Anthropic+1.6pt60.2%
- SpaceX-5.0pt37.8%
- OpenAI+0.1pt2%
+9 daha fazla sonuç
- Highest temperature in London on September 9?
- Highest temperature in Austin on Sep 8, 2026?
- Highest temperature in Dallas on September 9?
- Highest temperature in San Francisco on Sep 8, 2026?
- Highest temperature in Shanghai on September 9?
- Lowest temperature in New York City on Sep 8, 2026?
- Highest temperature in Paris on September 9?
- Highest temperature in Wellington on September 9?
- Highest temperature in Hong Kong on September 9?
- Highest temperature in Dallas on Sep 8, 2026?
Sık sorulan sorular
- Will any Category 5 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027? için güncel oranlar nedir?
- Polymarket, 8 Eylül 2026 itibarıyla No için 93% fiyatlıyor.
- Will any Category 5 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027? ne zaman sonuçlanacak?
- Will any Category 5 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027? için öngörülen sonuçlanma tarihi 1 Ocak 2027.
- Will any Category 5 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027? nasıl sonuçlandırılıyor?
- Polymarket bu piyasayı şu şekilde sonuçlandırır: For the purposes of this market, a Category 5 hurricane is a hurricane with maximum sustained winds of 157 mph or higher, as described at https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/aboutsshws.php, and a hurricane landfall is said to occur when the hurricane's surface center intersects with the coastline, as described at https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/aboutgloss.shtml#LANDFALL.