PolymarketKapalıKullanılabilirliği kontrol etKYC yok%2 ücretDoğrulanmış sonuçlanma verisiOrta düzey kalibreBu piyasa kapandı ve doğrulanmış sonucu bekliyor.
Doğrulanmamış sonuç verisi
Bu sonuç çıkarımsaldır veya sağlayıcı düzeyinde sonuç kanıtıyla desteklenmez.
Güncel ima edilen olasılık
Tucker Carlson 100%+0.3pt27 seçenek arasında lider
Piyasa kalitesi
44 / 100
Düşük kalite24s Hacim
₺443,9 B
Likidite
—
Likidite bilinmiyorSpread
0.1 pt
Dar spread7g Değişim
+71.5 pts
Piyasa verileri
59 gün önce güncellendi
Guncelligini yitirmis26 May 26 22:3630 Haz 26 0:00
Olasılık Zaman Çizelgesi
Pope Leo XIV9%
Emmanuel Macron16%
Norah O'Donnell1%
Keir Starmer8%
Candace Owens100%
Marjorie Taylor Greene100%
Pam Bondi2%
Melania Trump2%
Zohran Mamdani5%
Jimmy Kimmel20%
Kevin Warsh28%
Megyn Kelly9%
Benjamin Netanyahu100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
Kurallar
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump makes any public statement in which he insults, mocks, or attacks the listed individual personally or professionally in a clearly negative manner between market creation and the specified date (ET).
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- This includes calling the individual weak, stupid, disloyal, a failure, using an insulting nickname, using other derogatory language, or using the negative form of a positive trait in a derogatory personal way (e.g., “He/She isn’t smart”).
- Negative forms used in reference to the individual's professional actions, policies, or decisions (e.g., “He/She isn’t being smart about this policy”) will not count.
- Policy disagreements stated without disparaging language will not count.
- A direct reference will qualify even if the individual is not named, so long as it is reasonably clear from context that they are the subject.
