Which party will hold more governorships after the midterms?
0.5 puan (24s)PolitikaOne-OffUS PoliticsSeçim1ay
PolymarketKullanılabilirliği kontrol etKYC yok%2 ücretDoğrulanmış sonuçlanma verisiİyi kalibreGüncel ima edilen olasılık
Democratic Party 55.6%+0.5pt3 seçenek arasında lider
Piyasa kalitesi
70 / 100
Orta kalite24s Hacim
₺20,1 B
Likidite
₺773,6 B
Orta likiditeSpread
1.0 pt
Dar spreadYorumlar
0
7g Değişim
+18.5 pts
Piyasa verileri
9 dakika önce güncellendi
18 Ağu 26 19:27 UTC3 Kas 26 23:59 UTC
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PolymarketKurallar
The 2026 midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
- This market will resolve according to the party, between the the named outcome and the the named outcome, that holds the most US governor seats as a result of the 2026 midterm elections.
- If the the named outcome and the the named outcome hold the same number of governor seats as a result of the 2026 midterm elections, this market will resolve to “Tie”.
- This market will resolve based on the results of all gubernatorial elections, including special elections, that are scheduled to occur in November 2026 as of October 31, 2026.
- If a required runoff for any such election could change the market’s outcome, the market will remain open until that runoff is conclusively called by this market’s resolution sources.
- For governor seats contested in the specified election, seats are attributed to the party under which the governor was elected.
Tahmin Kaynağı Karşılaştırması
Bu piyasayı şu anda 2 platform fiyatlıyor. CoinRithm'in Democratic Party için likidite ağırlıklı referans olasılığı %56. Kotasyonlar en uçtaki platformlar arasında yaklaşık 1 puan fark gösteriyor.
CoinRithm referansı Democratic Party 56% · 2 platform · 1 puan venue farkı
- Kalshi üzerinde de mevcut — Who will hold more governorships after the midterms? · Democratic Party 56%
