Which countries will Trump accuse of election interference by July 16?
PolitikaOne-OffUS PoliticsSeçimRussia / UkraineChina2g
PolymarketKullanılabilirliği kontrol etKYC yok%2 ücretDoğrulanmış sonuçlanma verisiOrta düzey kalibreGüncel ima edilen olasılık
Iran 54%9 seçenek arasında lider
Piyasa kalitesi
73 / 100
Orta kalite24s Hacim
₺589,5 B
Likidite
₺4,1 Mn
Yüksek likiditeAlis / Satis
9.0% / 10.0%
Spread
11.1%
Geniş spreadPiyasa verileri
14 dakika önce guncellendi
14 Tem 26 2:3516 Tem 26 23:59
Trendler
Yalnızca sanal bakiye, gerçek para yokYatırım tavsiyesi değildir
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Iran54%
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This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump publicly alleges that interference by the listed country has occurred in any US election held after the 2016 US presidential election between market creation and July 16, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- Qualifying interference includes, but is not limited to: manipulation of vote tallies or voting machines; hacking of election infrastructure; casting of fraudulent ballots; coordinated disinformation or influence campaigns intended to alter the election's outcome; or illegal foreign funding of campaigns.
- Allegations limited to procedural irregularities, administrative errors, ordinary lobbying, legal foreign media coverage, or fraud of domestic or unspecified origin will not qualify.
- The alleged interference must be attributed to the government of the listed country, a state-affiliated entity, organization, or nationals of the listed country acting in that capacity.
- The actor must be identified at least at the national level (e.g., "China," "Russian operatives," "Iranian hackers").