PolymarketKapalıKullanılabilirliği kontrol etKYC yok%2 ücretDoğrulanmış sonuçlanma verisiOrta düzey kalibreBu piyasa sonuçlandı: Yes (100%)
Sonuçlandı: 9 May 2026 19:45
Sağlayıcı tarafından doğrulanmış sonuç
CoinRithm bu piyasa için kazanan ve sonuçlanma zamanı konusunda sağlayıcı destekli kanıta sahip.
Kazanan Sonuç
Yes
7 gün kala
—
24 saat kala
32%
SürprizGüncel ima edilen olasılıkEvet 100%+0.7pt
Piyasa kalitesi
49 / 100
Düşük kalite24s Hacim
₺1,5 Mr
Likidite
₺126,8 Mn
Yüksek likiditeAlis / Satis
99.9% / 100.0%
Spread
0.1 pt
Dar spread7g Değişim
+90.5 pts
Piyasa verileri
79 gün önce guncellendi
Guncelligini yitirmis13 Oca 26 19:2430 Haz 26 0:00
Olasılık Zaman Çizelgesi
Yes100%
No0%
100%
0%
Bu piyasa kapandı. Deneme işlemi yalnızca açık piyasalarda kullanılabilir.
Platformları karşılaştır· Yes
Piyasa kalitesine, ardından likidite ve 24s hacme göre sıralanır| Platform | Kalite | Olasılık | referansa göre | 24s Hacim | Likidite | Güncellik | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PolymarketBu sayfaGenel en iyi | Düşük | 100% | — | ₺1,5 Mr | ₺126,8 Mn | 79 gün önce | |
 Manifold Markets%84 eşleşme · oto | — | 3% | — | — | — | 28 gün önce | Aç → |
Manifold Markets üzerinde de mevcut
Will Ukraine and Russia agree to a formal ceasefire by June 30, 2026?
Kapalı
Sonuçlandı
Hayır (97.5%)
97.5%
2.5%
Topluluk tahmini32 tahminciTür: binary
MANIFOLD MARKETSKurallar
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is an official ceasefire agreement, defined as a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in military engagement, between Russia and Ukraine by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- If the agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes," regardless of whether the ceasefire officially starts afterward.
- Only ceasefires which constitute a general pause in the conflict will qualify.
- Ceasefires which only apply to energy infrastructure, the Black Sea, or other similar agreements will not qualify.
- Any form of informal agreement will not be considered an official ceasefire.
- Humanitarian pauses will not count toward the resolution of this market.
Olasılıklar farklı piyasa yapıları, ücretler ve katılımcı havuzları nedeniyle değişiklik gösterebilir.
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This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is an official ceasefire agreement, defined as a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in military engagement, between Russia and Ukraine by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- If the agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes," regardless of whether the ceasefire officially starts afterward.
- Only ceasefires which constitute a general pause in the conflict will qualify.
- Ceasefires which only apply to energy infrastructure, the Black Sea, or other similar agreements will not qualify.
- Any form of informal agreement will not be considered an official ceasefire.
- Humanitarian pauses will not count toward the resolution of this market.