PolymarketKullanılabilirliği kontrol etKYC yok%2 ücretDoğrulanmış sonuçlanma verisiİyi kalibreGüncel ima edilen olasılık
October 31 75.5%-14.0ptMarj düzeltmeli: platformun ham fiyatları %100 üzerinde toplandığı için normalize edildi.
Piyasa kalitesi
68 / 100
Orta kalite24s Hacim
₺237,3 B
Likidite
₺177,7 B
Orta likiditeAlış / Satış
23.0% / 25.0%
Spread
2.0 pt
Dar spreadYorumlar
0
Piyasa verileri
12 dakika önce güncellendi
4 Eyl 26 14:29 UTC31 Eki 26 23:59 UTC
Trendler
İlgili Piyasalar
Bağlam için ilgili sorular; eşdeğer sözleşmelerin karşılaştırması değildir.
Muse Spark 1.4+ (Meta) release date
Manifold MarketsBTC price on Sep 10, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
KalshiBTC price on Sep 11, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
KalshiWhen will Apple release the iPhone 18?
KalshiElon Musk # tweets September 4 - September 11, 2026?
PolymarketWill Apple release a foldable iPhone by which date?
PolymarketKurallar
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Meta's next Muse Spark model (1.4+) is made available to the general public between market creation and the specified date (ET).
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- A qualifying model must have a name or model identifier that includes "Muse Spark" and be designated as version 1.4 or higher, regardless of capitalization, hyphenation, spacing, or surrounding prefixes, suffixes, dates, or descriptors.
- For example, a version 1.4 or higher named in the same manner as Muse Spark 1.2 or Muse Spark 1.3 would qualify, including a new whole-number generation such as Muse Spark 2, while models whose name does not include "Muse Spark" or which retain a version designation below 1.4, such as Muse Spark 1.3 (released September 2, 2026, including any of its reasoning modes, open-weight re-releases, rollouts, promotions, or snapshots), Muse Glimmer, or Muse Image, will not qualify.
- A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups.
- A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
Açık piyasalar
TechKALSHIBTC price on Sep 10, 2026 at 10am EDT?
- $76,300 or above99%
- $76,000 or above99%
- $76,200 or above99%
+97 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺46,8 Mn
- 24s Hacim
- ₺43,2 Mn
KALSHIBTC price on Sep 10, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
- $72,000 or above99%
- $73,750 or above99%
- $73,000 or above99%
+77 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺43 Mn
- 24s Hacim
- ₺42,8 Mn
POLYMARKETElon Musk # tweets September 4 - September 11, 2026?
- 160-179+30.0pt59.8%
- 180-199-10.0pt31.4%
- 140-159-2.0pt4.9%
+23 daha fazla sonuç
KALSHIBTC price on Sep 11, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
- $69,000 or above99%
- $68,500 or above98%
- $69,500 or above98%
+47 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺87 Mn
- 24s Hacim
- ₺20,6 Mn
KALSHIWhen will Apple release the iPhone 18?
- Before April 2027+5.0pt68.8%
- Before March 2027+2.0pt17.2%
- Before February 2027+3.0pt8.2%
+2 daha fazla sonuç
POLYMARKETWill Apple release a foldable iPhone by which date?
- December 31+2.8pt100%
- October 31+6.8pt99%
- September 15-7.0pt1%
+3 daha fazla sonuç
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- ETH price on Sep 10, 2026 at 10am EDT?
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- AI lab announces another Millennium Prize solution by which date?
Sık sorulan sorular
- Next Muse Spark (1.4+) released by which date? için güncel oranlar nedir?
- Polymarket, 10 Eylül 2026 itibarıyla October 31 için 76% fiyatlıyor.
- Next Muse Spark (1.4+) released by which date? ne zaman sonuçlanacak?
- Next Muse Spark (1.4+) released by which date? için öngörülen sonuçlanma tarihi 31 Ekim 2026.
- Next Muse Spark (1.4+) released by which date? nasıl sonuçlandırılıyor?
- Polymarket bu piyasayı şu şekilde sonuçlandırır: This market will resolve to "Yes" if Meta's next Muse Spark model (1.4+) is made available to the general public between market creation and the specified date (ET).