PolymarketKullanılabilirliği kontrol etKYC yokDoğrulanmış sonuçlanma verisiİyi kalibreGüncel ima edilen olasılık
October 18 23%-6.6pt32 seçenek arasında lider
October 18 23%-6.6ptPiyasa kalitesi
65 / 100
Orta kalite24s Hacim
₺69 B
Likidite
₺616 B
Orta likiditeSpread
1.0 pt
Dar spreadYorumlar
0
Piyasa verileri
26 dakika önce güncellendi
1 Eki 26 00:12 UTC1 Kas 26 03:59 UTC
Trendler
İşlem platformu koşulları
Kaynak: Polymarket
Bu koşullar yalnızca bilgi amaçlıdır; CoinRithm deneme işlemlerinde kendi kurallarını uygular.
- Minimum emir (pay):
- 5
- Fiyat adımı:
- 0,1 yüzde puan
- İşlem ücreti:
- Evet
İlgili Piyasalar
Bağlam için ilgili sorular; eşdeğer sözleşmelerin karşılaştırması değildir.
Next Claude Haiku (4.6+) released by which date?
PolymarketWhen will a new Claude Haiku be released (after 4.5)?
Manifold MarketsClaude Haiku dying in 3 months?
Manifold MarketsWill a new Claude Haiku model be released in October 2026?
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PolymarketWill a non-lab AI-only effort solve a Millennium Problem in 2026?
Manifold MarketsKurallar
This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Anthropic's next Claude Haiku model (4.6+) is made available to the general public.
- A qualifying model must have a name or model identifier that includes "Haiku" and be designated as version 4.6 or higher, regardless of capitalization or surrounding prefixes, suffixes, dates, or descriptors.
- For example, a version 4.6 or higher named in the same manner as Claude Haiku 4.5 would qualify, including a new whole-number generation such as Claude Haiku 5, while models whose name does not include "Haiku" or which retain a version designation below 4.6, such as Claude Haiku 4.5, including any rollout, promotion, or snapshot of it, will not qualify.
- A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups.
- A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
- The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website.
