PolymarketKullanılabilirliği kontrol etKYC yok%2 ücretDoğrulanmış sonuçlanma verisiİyi kalibreGüncel ima edilen olasılık
6M-6.5M 40%+24.0pt7 seçenek arasında liderMarj düzeltmeli: platformun ham fiyatları %100 üzerinde toplandığı için normalize edildi.
Piyasa kalitesi
68 / 100
Orta kalite24s Hacim
₺58,2 B
Likidite
₺1,1 Mn
Orta likiditeSpread
0.8 pt
Dar spreadYorumlar
0
7g Değişim
-41.0 pts
Piyasa verileri
10 dakika önce güncellendi
18 Ağu 26 14:23 UTC3 Kas 26 12:00 UTC
Trendler
İlgili Piyasalar
Bağlam için ilgili sorular; eşdeğer sözleşmelerin karşılaştırması değildir.
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GeminiWill Democrats win a 2026 Governor election in a state trump won?
Manifold MarketsKurallar
This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Governor of New York.
- If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
- If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
- All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included.
- Invalidated or blank votes are not included.
- In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.
Tahmin Kaynağı Karşılaştırması
Açık piyasalar
PoliticsPOLYMARKETNext French Presidential Election
- Marine Le Pen+2.0pt38.4%
- Édouard Philippe+1.0pt31.3%
- Jean-Luc Mélenchon-1.0pt12.1%
+38 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺6,4 Mr
- 24s Hacim
- ₺85,4 Mn
POLYMARKETBrazil Presidential Election
- Flávio Bolsonaro+7.3pt53.5%
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva-9.0pt44.4%
- Renan Santos-0.1pt2%
+16 daha fazla sonuç
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Jon Ossoff17.7%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez15.6%
- Gavin Newsom+1.0pt14.6%
+45 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺10,4 Mr
- 24s Hacim
KALSHIWhich party will win the U.S. House?
- Democratic Party+1.0pt86%
- Republican Party-2.0pt14%
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺1,4 Mr
- 24s Hacim
- ₺24,2 Mn
KALSHIOhio Senate winner?
- Sherrod Brown-2.0pt51%
- Jon Husted+2.0pt49%
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺148,5 Mn
- 24s Hacim
- ₺20,1 Mn
KALSHIIowa Senate winner?
- Ashley Hinson+3.0pt65.7%
- Josh Turek-3.0pt34.3%
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺121,7 Mn
- 24s Hacim
- ₺17,1 Mn
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Sık sorulan sorular
- New York Governor Election: Turnout için güncel oranlar nedir?
- Polymarket, 10 Eylül 2026 itibarıyla 6M-6.5M için 40% fiyatlıyor.
- New York Governor Election: Turnout ne zaman sonuçlanacak?
- New York Governor Election: Turnout için öngörülen sonuçlanma tarihi 3 Kasım 2026.
- New York Governor Election: Turnout nasıl sonuçlandırılıyor?
- Polymarket bu piyasayı şu şekilde sonuçlandırır: This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Governor of New York.
- New York Governor Election: Turnout başka nerede listeleniyor?
- Aynı soru şu platformlarda da listeleniyor: Kalshi.