Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by...?
Jeopolitik
PolymarketKapalıKullanılabilirliği kontrol etKYC yok%2 ücretDoğrulanmış sonuçlanma verisiOrta düzey kalibreBu piyasa kapandı ve doğrulanmış sonucu bekliyor.
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Güncel ima edilen olasılıkDecember 31 100%+2.0pt9 seçenek arasında lider
Piyasa kalitesi
49 / 100
Düşük kalite24s Hacim
₺1,1 Mr
Likidite
₺263,5 Mn
Yüksek likiditeAlis / Satis
99.9% / 100.0%
Spread
0.1 pt
Dar spread7g Değişim
+9.7 pts
Piyasa verileri
94 gün önce guncellendi
Guncelligini yitirmis28 Şub 26 14:4031 Mar 26 0:00
Olasılık Zaman Çizelgesi
December 3199%
April 3096%
April 15100%
June 30100%
May 15100%
April 7100%
March 70%
March 150%
March 310%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
Bu piyasa kapandı. Deneme işlemi yalnızca açık piyasalarda kullanılabilir.
Platformları karşılaştır· December 31
Piyasa kalitesine, ardından likidite ve 24s hacme göre sıralanır| Platform | Kalite | Olasılık | referansa göre | 24s Hacim | Likidite | Güncellik | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PolymarketBu sayfaGenel en iyi | Düşük | 100% | — | ₺1,1 Mr | ₺263,5 Mn | 94 gün önce | |
 Manifold Markets%80 eşleşme · oto | — | 100% | — | — | — | 96 gün önce | Aç → |
Manifold Markets üzerinde de mevcut
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by which date?
Kapalı
100%
100%
100%
+3 daha fazla sonuç
Topluluk tahmini34 tahminciTür: multiple choice
MANIFOLD MARKETSKurallar
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a continuous 14-day period without any qualifying military action between Iran, and Israel and the United States that begins at any time between market creation and the specified end date (ET).
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- The 14-day period may begin at any time between the creation of this market and the specified end date (ET), and must continue uninterrupted through 12:00 PM ET on the 14th calendar day after the strike is confirmed.
- A "military action" is defined as any use of force by Iran, or Israel and the United States against the other’s soil, or official embassies or consulates, that is either officially acknowledged by the acting government or confirmed through a clear consensus of credible reporting.
- This includes, but is not limited to, airstrikes, naval attacks, and ground incursions.
- Cyberattacks, sanctions, and diplomatic actions do not count.
Olasılıklar farklı piyasa yapıları, ücretler ve katılımcı havuzları nedeniyle değişiklik gösterebilir.
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This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a continuous 14-day period without any qualifying military action between Iran, and Israel and the United States that begins at any time between market creation and the specified end date (ET).
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- The 14-day period may begin at any time between the creation of this market and the specified end date (ET), and must continue uninterrupted through 12:00 PM ET on the 14th calendar day after the strike is confirmed.
- A "military action" is defined as any use of force by Iran, or Israel and the United States against the other’s soil, or official embassies or consulates, that is either officially acknowledged by the acting government or confirmed through a clear consensus of credible reporting.
- This includes, but is not limited to, airstrikes, naval attacks, and ground incursions.
- Cyberattacks, sanctions, and diplomatic actions do not count.