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  3. California Governor Primary Election: Margin of Victory?
California Governor Primary Election: Margin of Victory?

California Governor Primary Election: Margin of Victory?

6.5% (24s)One-OffPolitikaSeçim
PolymarketPolymarketKapalıKullanılabilirliği kontrol etKYC yok%2 ücret

Bu piyasa kapandı ve doğrulanmış sonucu bekliyor.

Güncel ima edilen olasılık
Becerra <5%
Becerra <5% 93%+7.5%
8 seçenek arasında lider
Piyasa kalitesi

64 / 100

Orta kalite
24s Hacim

₺80,1 B

Likidite

₺2 Mn

Yüksek likidite
Alis / Satis

2.0% / 10.0%

Spread

400.0%

Geniş spread
7g Değişim

-27.0%

Piyasa verileri

4 dakika önce guncellendi

28 May 26 21:492 Haz 26 0:00

Trendler

Sonuç24sOlasılık
Becerra <5%
Becerra <5%
+7.5%
93%
Becerra 5–10%
Becerra 5–10%
-6.5%
6%
Hilton Wins
Hilton Wins
+2.4%
3%
Becerra 10%+
Becerra 10%+
+1.8%
3%
Steyer 5%+
Steyer 5%+
-0.1%
0%
Steyer <5%
Steyer <5%
0%

Bu piyasa kapandı. Deneme işlemi yalnızca açık piyasalarda kullanılabilir.

KalshiKalshi üzerinde de mevcut

California Governor Primary margin of victory

California Governor Primary margin of victory

1.0%1y
Xavier Becerra, 3+ pts
Xavier Becerra, 3+ pts
-1.0%90%
Xavier Becerra, 1+ pts
Xavier Becerra, 1+ pts
-2.0%97%
Xavier Becerra, 5+ pts
Xavier Becerra, 5+ pts
8%
28 • Düşük kaliteGeniş spreadDüşük likiditeSığ piyasa
Toplam Hacim₺15,7 B
24s Hacim₺98,8
KalshiKALSHI

Kurallar

The non-partisan primary election for Governor of California is scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026.

Polymarket
  • The top two candidates in this election by number of votes won will advance to the general election for Governor of California.
  • This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in this primary election.
  • The “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates.
  • Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
  • If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

Olasılıklar farklı piyasa yapıları, ücretler ve katılımcı havuzları nedeniyle değişiklik gösterebilir.

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Kurallar

The non-partisan primary election for Governor of California is scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026.

Polymarket
  • The top two candidates in this election by number of votes won will advance to the general election for Governor of California.
  • This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in this primary election.
  • The “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates.
  • Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
  • If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.