KalshiKullanılabilirliği kontrol etKYC gerekli%2 ücretGüncel ima edilen olasılıkXavier Becerra, 3+ pts 90%-1.0%3 seçenek arasında lider
Piyasa kalitesi
28 / 100
Düşük kalite24s Hacim
₺55,4
Likidite
₺5,2 B
Düşük likiditeAlis / Satis
85.0% / 99.0%
Spread
16.5%
Geniş spreadPiyasa verileri
6 dakika önce guncellendi
4 May 26 23:453 Kas 27 15:00
Trendler
Seçilen sonuç
Xavier Becerra, 3+ pts90%
Polymarket üzerinde de mevcut
California Governor Primary Election: Margin of Victory?
6.0%Kapalı
+9.0%93%
-6.0%6%
+2.8%3%
+5 daha fazla sonuç
64 • Orta kaliteGeniş spreadYüksek likidite
Toplam Hacim₺1,4 Mn
24s Hacim₺80,1 B
POLYMARKETKurallar
If Xavier Becerra wins the 2026 gubernatorial primary election in California by 1 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.
- The margin of victory shall be calculated as follows based on the margin type.
- For percentage points: the vote percentage received by Xavier Becerra minus the vote percentage received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Xavier Becerra if Xavier Becerra wins, or the candidate/party that finishes first if Xavier Becerra loses.
- Each margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound.
- No rounding shall be applied to the calculated margin.
- For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range.
Olasılıklar farklı piyasa yapıları, ücretler ve katılımcı havuzları nedeniyle değişiklik gösterebilir.
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If Xavier Becerra wins the 2026 gubernatorial primary election in California by 1 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.
- The margin of victory shall be calculated as follows based on the margin type.
- For percentage points: the vote percentage received by Xavier Becerra minus the vote percentage received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Xavier Becerra if Xavier Becerra wins, or the candidate/party that finishes first if Xavier Becerra loses.
- Each margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound.
- No rounding shall be applied to the calculated margin.
- For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range.