Güncel ima edilen olasılık
AfD 70.3%+1.5pt
Piyasa kalitesi
63 / 100
Orta kalite24s Hacim
₺2,1 B
Likidite
₺280,6 B
Orta likiditeAlış / Satış
70.0% / 71.0%
Spread
1.0 pt
Dar spreadYorumlar
0
7g Değişim
+0.5 pts
Piyasa verileri
11 dakika önce güncellendi
20 Ağu 26 18:17 UTC20 Eyl 26 23:59 UTC
Trendler
İlgili Piyasalar
Bağlam için ilgili sorular; eşdeğer sözleşmelerin karşılaştırması değildir.
Berlin State Election: More Votes to AfD or SPD?
PolymarketBerlin State Election: More Votes to CDU or Grüne?
PolymarketBerlin State Election: More Votes to Grüne or SPD?
PolymarketWhich party will win the 2026 Berlin state election?
FutuurWill Germany's Federal Constitutional Court rule that the 2025 election votes must be recounted (BSW complaint)?
Manifold MarketsIf Germany's 2025 election votes are (fully or partially) recounted, will BSW reach 5% of votes?
Manifold MarketsKurallar
Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place in Berlin on September 20, 2026.
- This market will resolve to “AfD” if AfD wins more valid second votes (Zweitstimme) than Grüne in the specified election.
- This market will resolve to “Grüne” if Grüne wins more valid second votes (Zweitstimme) than AfD in the specified election.
- This market will resolve 50-50 if both AfD and Grüne receive exactly the same number of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) in the specified election.
- This market will resolve solely based on the number of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) won by each specified party.
- Valid second votes will be counted only where the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin) attributes them to the aforementioned parties.
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Sık sorulan sorular
- Berlin State Election: More Votes to AfD or Grüne? için güncel oranlar nedir?
- Polymarket, 8 Eylül 2026 itibarıyla AfD için 70% fiyatlıyor.
- Berlin State Election: More Votes to AfD or Grüne? ne zaman sonuçlanacak?
- Berlin State Election: More Votes to AfD or Grüne? için öngörülen sonuçlanma tarihi 20 Eylül 2026.
- Berlin State Election: More Votes to AfD or Grüne? nasıl sonuçlandırılıyor?
- Polymarket bu piyasayı şu şekilde sonuçlandırır: Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place in Berlin on September 20, 2026.