Güncel ima edilen olasılık
14-17% 44.2%-2.0pt4 seçenek arasında liderMarj düzeltmeli: platformun ham fiyatları %100 üzerinde toplandığı için normalize edildi.
Piyasa kalitesi
75 / 100
Yüksek kalite24s Hacim
₺213 B
Likidite
₺1,6 Mn
Yüksek likiditeSpread
1.0 pt
Dar spreadYorumlar
0
7g Değişim
+3.0 pts
Piyasa verileri
3 dakika önce güncellendi
20 Ağu 26 18:21 UTC20 Eyl 26 23:59 UTC
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Manifold MarketsKurallar
Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place in Berlin on September 20, 2026.
- This market will resolve according to the percentage of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) received by Grüne in the specified election.
- If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
- This market will resolve solely based on the percentage of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) won by the specified party, defined as the number of valid second votes won by the specified party divided by the total number of valid second votes in the specified election.
- Valid vote percentages will be counted only where the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin) attributes them to the aforementioned party.
- Vote percentages attributed to other parties or electoral designations will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements.