Güncel ima edilen olasılık
CDU 56%+11.5pt8 seçenek arasında lider
Piyasa kalitesi
79 / 100
Yüksek kalite24s Hacim
₺637,6 B
Likidite
₺7,6 Mn
Yüksek likiditeSpread
3.0 pt
Orta spreadYorumlar
0
7g Değişim
+17.5 pts
Piyasa verileri
10 dakika önce güncellendi
8 Tem 26 01:12 UTC20 Eyl 26 23:59 UTC
Trendler
0%
0%
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İlgili Piyasalar
Bağlam için ilgili sorular; eşdeğer sözleşmelerin karşılaştırması değildir.
Russia Parliamentary Election: 2nd Place
PolymarketMecklenburg-Vorpommern Parliamentary Election: 2nd Place
PolymarketRussia Election: 2nd Place Party List in Saint Petersburg?
PolymarketWhich party will win the 2026 Berlin state election?
FutuurBrazil 2026 Election: Brazil average gasoline price ≥ R$6.50/L on Oct 25, 2026 (Election Day 2nd round)?
Manifold MarketsBosnia and Herzegovina parliamentary election: 2nd place?
KalshiKurallar
Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetehaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place in Berlin on September 20, 2026.
- This market will resolve to the political party that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the formal deliberative assembly of Berlin (Abgeordnetenhaus) as a result of this election.
- If voting in the Berlin election for the Abgeordnetenhaus does not occur by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
- The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election.
- If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) received, with higher vote totals ranking higher.
- If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party names/abbreviations.
Tahmin Kaynağı Karşılaştırması
Açık piyasalar
PoliticsPOLYMARKETWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- United Russia (ER)+3.0pt77%
- New People (NL)-2.5pt20%
- Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)-0.9pt2%
+5 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺1,5 Mr
- 24s Hacim
- ₺47 Mn
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Jon Ossoff17%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez-1.0pt15%
- Gavin Newsom14%
+45 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺10,7 Mr
- 24s Hacim
- ₺41,1 Mn
KALSHITexas Senate winner?
- James Talarico+5.0pt56.4%
- Ken Paxton-4.0pt43.6%
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺631 Mn
- 24s Hacim
- ₺32,9 Mn
KALSHIWhich party will win the U.S. House?
- Democratic Party+3.0pt88.1%
- Republican Party-1.0pt11.9%
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺1,6 Mr
- 24s Hacim
- ₺27,2 Mn
POLYMARKETPutin out as President of Russia by which date?
- June 30, 2027+1.0pt14%
- December-1.0pt5%
- September 30,1%
+2 daha fazla sonuç
KALSHI2026 Midterms: Congress Balance of Power?
- Democrats sweep+4.0pt56.3%
- D-House, R-Senate31.1%
- Republicans sweep-2.0pt11.7%
+1 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
- Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- Presidential Election Winner 2028
- Mecklenburg-Vorpommern Parliamentary Election Winner
- Brazil Presidential Election
- Florida Governor winner?
- Next French Presidential Election
- US announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
- Nebraska Senate winner?
- 2028 Republican presidential nominee
- Which party will win the U.S. Senate?
Sık sorulan sorular
- Berlin State Election: 2nd Place için güncel oranlar nedir?
- Polymarket, 18 Eylül 2026 itibarıyla CDU için 56% fiyatlıyor.
- Berlin State Election: 2nd Place ne zaman sonuçlanacak?
- Berlin State Election: 2nd Place için öngörülen sonuçlanma tarihi 20 Eylül 2026.
- Berlin State Election: 2nd Place nasıl sonuçlandırılıyor?
- Polymarket bu piyasayı şu şekilde sonuçlandırır: Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetehaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place in Berlin on September 20, 2026.
- Berlin State Election: 2nd Place başka nerede listeleniyor?
- Aynı soru şu platformlarda da listeleniyor: Kalshi.