PolymarketKullanılabilirliği kontrol etKYC yok%2 ücretDoğrulanmış sonuçlanma verisiİyi kalibreGüncel ima edilen olasılık
Hayır 98%+0.4pt
Piyasa kalitesi
≤49 / 100
Düşük kalite24s Hacim
—
Likidite
₺405,5 B
Orta likiditeAlış / Satış
1.3% / 2.9%
Spread
1.6 pt
Dar spreadYorumlar
0
7g Değişim
+0.3 pts
Piyasa verileri
7 dakika önce güncellendi
8 Nis 26 22:16 UTC1 Oca 27 04:59 UTC
Trendler
İlgili Piyasalar
Bağlam için ilgili sorular; eşdeğer sözleşmelerin karşılaştırması değildir.
Will Kurt Cobain's death case be reopened?
Manifold MarketsAlcatraz transfer language passed by either chamber by end of 2026?
Manifold MarketsIf there are 100+ inmates at alligator alcatraz will there be a prison break of 1 or more inmates by end of 2027?
Manifold MarketsTrump out as President before 2027?
PolymarketMaduro Prison Time?
PolymarketSBF released from custody in 2026?
PolymarketKurallar
This market will resolve to "Yes" if at least one inmate is officially held at Alcatraz Federal Penitentiary on Alcatraz Island by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- The inmate must be detained by the U.S. federal government as part of a formal correctional or detention program.
- Temporary holds of less than 24 hours or symbolic events will not count.
- The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Açık piyasalar
PoliticsPOLYMARKETDemocratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez-0.2pt18%
- Jon Ossoff16%
- Gavin Newsom-0.7pt15%
+48 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺62,6 Mr
- 24s Hacim
- ₺115,1 Mn
POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance51%
- Marco Rubio+0.3pt16%
- Ron DeSantis3%
+39 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺34,5 Mr
POLYMARKETVenezuela leader end of 2026?
- Nicolás Maduro-30.3pt52.5%
- Delcy Rodríguez+32.5pt46.5%
- No Head of State-0.1pt1%
+13 daha fazla sonuç
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Jon Ossoff17.9%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez-1.0pt15.8%
- Gavin Newsom13.7%
+45 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺10,8 Mr
- 24s Hacim
- ₺22,1 Mn
KALSHI2026 Midterms: Congress Balance of Power?
- Democrats sweep59%
- D-House, R-Senate+1.0pt30%
- Republicans sweep+0.1pt10%
+1 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺813 Mn
POLYMARKETIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
- July 18+0.3pt100%
- July 20+0.1pt100%
- July 22+0.5pt100%
+21 daha fazla sonuç
- US announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- What will Trump say this week?
- 2028 Republican presidential nominee
- Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
- Trump out as President by September 30?
- Which party will win the U.S. House?
- Which party will win the House in 2026?
- Next French Presidential Election
- Brazil Presidential Election
- Los Angeles Mayor winner?
- Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
Sık sorulan sorular
- Alcatraz reopened in 2026? için güncel oranlar nedir?
- Polymarket, 20 Eylül 2026 itibarıyla No için 98% fiyatlıyor.
- Alcatraz reopened in 2026? ne zaman sonuçlanacak?
- Alcatraz reopened in 2026? için öngörülen sonuçlanma tarihi 1 Ocak 2027.
- Alcatraz reopened in 2026? nasıl sonuçlandırılıyor?
- Polymarket bu piyasayı şu şekilde sonuçlandırır: This market will resolve to "Yes" if at least one inmate is officially held at Alcatraz Federal Penitentiary on Alcatraz Island by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.