538: Will voters prefer Republicans over Democrats by Election Day?
Politika
PolymarketKapalıKullanılabilirliği kontrol etKYC yok%2 ücretDoğrulanmış sonuçlanma verisiOrta düzey kalibreBu piyasa sonuçlandı: Yes
Sınırlı sonuç kanıtı
CoinRithm kayıtlı sonucu gösterebilir, ancak her sonuçlanma alanı sağlayıcı tarafından doğrulanmış değildir.
Güncel ima edilen olasılık
Evet 100%
Piyasa kalitesi
15 / 100
Düşük kalite24s Hacim
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Likidite
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Likidite bilinmiyorPiyasa verileri
122 gün önce guncellendi
Guncelligini yitirmis4 Eki 22 0:008 Kas 22 0:00
Olasılık Zaman Çizelgesi
Yes100%
No0%
100%
0%
Kurallar
If the FiveThirtyEight graph titled "Do voters want Republicans or Democrats in Congress?" shows Republicans a greater percentage of support than Democrats on any date from October 4 through November 8, 2022 (inclusive) during the check times, this market will resolve to "Yes".
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- The resolution source for this market is the FiveThirtyEight "Do voters want Republicans or Democrats in Congress?" graph, with the "POLL TYPE" option set to "Generic ballot" and the "CYCLE" option set to "2022".
- The graph is presently located at https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls/generic-ballot/.
- Changes in the methodology by which FiveThirtyEight calculates this graph's figures will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
- This resolution source for this market will be checked every day at 8 PM ET, with the final check being on November 8, 8 PM ET.
