Will Xi Jinping remain leader of China for the rest of his life? için güncel oranlar nedir?

Manifold Markets, 31 Ekim 2026 itibarıyla No için 74.7% fiyatlıyor.

Will Xi Jinping remain leader of China for the rest of his life? ne zaman sonuçlanacak?

Will Xi Jinping remain leader of China for the rest of his life? için öngörülen sonuçlanma tarihi 1 Ocak 2041.

ÇinOne-Off14y

Manifold MarketsKYC yokDoğrulanmış sonuçlanma verisiİyi kalibre

Güncel topluluk tahmini

Hayır 74.7%

Tahminciler

Soru türü

binary

Yöntem

Play-money forecasting platform

Kaynak türü

Tahmin

Piyasa verileri

11 saat önce güncellendi

Guncelligini yitirmis

20 May 23 21:07 UTC1 Oca 41 07:59 UTC

Trendler

Sonuç24sOlasılık

Kurallar

Resolves NO if, at any point during his life, Xi is no longer considered the most powerful leader in China.

Resolves YES if he dies at the top.
I will extend this market indefinitely as necessary.
This may be biased toward NO, since he's only 69 and YES holders might have to wait decades to get their payout.
General policy for my markets: In the rare event of a conflict between my resolution criteria and the agreed-upon common-sense spirit of the market, I may resolve it according to the market's spirit or N/A, probably after discussion.